Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41511659›Full record

ArticleOphthalmology and therapy2026

Reassessment of the Collaborative Normal-Tension Glaucoma Study: Statistical Evidence and Implications for Current Management.

Hanspeter E Killer, Achmed Pircher, Daniel J Stekhoven

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ophthalmology and therapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Hanspeter E KillerDepartment of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Achmed PircherDepartment of Surgical Sciences/Ophthalmology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Daniel J StekhovenNEXUS Personalized Health, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. stekhoven@nexus.ethz.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3163-3161

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe Collaborative Normal-Tension Glaucoma Study (CNTGS) is frequently cited as evidence that a 30% reduction in intraocular pressure (IOP) slows progression in normal-tension glaucoma (NTG). This study re-examines the statistical methodology of CNTGS to assess how its conclusions are supported by the data.

methodsThis study reviews the CNTGS design with emphasis on survival analysis methodology, including the definition of time zero, censoring rules, and intention-to-treat (ITT) versus per-protocol comparisons. Particular attention is given to the post hoc redefinition of baseline and the handling of cataract-related visual decline, assessing their impact on the reported treatment effect.

resultsCNTGS shifted the analytical baseline for the treatment group to the point of IOP stabilization, thereby excluding early progression events and introducing immortal time bias. Additionally, cataract-related visual decline, more frequent in the treatment group, was censored rather than treated as a competing risk or time-dependent covariate. These methodological choices reduced the number of counted progression events in the treatment arm. Although the adjusted per-protocol analysis yielded a statistically significant treatment effect, this effect disappeared under the original ITT analysis, which included all randomized eyes from time zero and all progression events.

conclusionThe potential treatment benefit reported in CNTGS depended largely on post hoc analytical modifications, whereas the original ITT analysis did not support a statistically significant effect of IOP reduction. These findings highlight the importance of transparent survival analysis methods and strict adherence to ITT principles in future NTG trials. Well-designed prospective studies that avoid immortal time bias and model treatment-related events appropriately are needed to clarify the true role of IOP reduction on NTG management.

Indexed as

Collaborative normal-tension glaucoma studyIntraocular pressureNormal-tension glaucomaStatistics

Identifiers

PMID41511659
PMCPMC12901774

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.