ArticleDialogues in health2026
Determinants of COVID-19 prevalence in Central Java, Indonesia: An ecological study of socio-demographic, environmental, and healthcare factors.
Article in Dialogues in health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Central Java, Indonesia, experienced a 40.9 % COVID-19 positivity rate in 2022, exceeding the WHO benchmark. This study examines the association between changes in sociodemographic, environmental, and healthcare factors and the rise in COVID-19 prevalence, focusing on regional disparities across Central Java. Variables from public datasets were chosen based on the Social Determinants of Health (SDOH) framework. Data analysis begins with variable identification via Pearson correlation, followed by an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression employing Stepwise Backward Elimination, and subsequent assumption tests including Jarque-Bera, Breusch-Pagan, Moran's I, and multicollinearity checks. Upon identifying spatial autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity, Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) was applied to address spatial heterogeneity. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) analysis identified Change in tourist arrival ratio per population, environmental health workforce ratio per land area, and community healthcare workforce ratio per land area as associated factors with change in COVID-19 prevalence. The Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model, with a higher R
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