Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41508341›Full record

SynthesisClinical and molecular hepatology2026

Network meta-analysis and validation study of expanded liver transplantation criteria for hepatocellular carcinoma: Significant role of alpha-fetoprotein.

Dongman Yu, Yeongseok Hwang, Jin-Sung Ju, Subin Heo, Seon-Ok Kim, Sang Hyun Choi, Gi-Won Song, Jihyun An, Ju Hyun Shim

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisValidation Study
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical and molecular hepatology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Dongman YuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Yeongseok HwangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Jin-Sung JuDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Subin HeoDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Seon-Ok KimDepartment of Biostatistics and Clinical Epidemiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Sang Hyun ChoiDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Gi-Won SongDivision of Liver Transplantation and Hepatobiliary Surgery, Department of Surgery, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Jihyun AnDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Guri, Korea.
Ju Hyun ShimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Funding

Asan Cancer Institute of Asan Medical Center 2022IP0046Korean Liver Cancer AssociationMinistry of Science and ICTNational Research Foundation of Korea 2021R1A6A1A03040260National Research Foundation of Korea 2022R1A2C3008956
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsVarious expanded criteria (EC) for liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been proposed to avoid the narrow nature of the Milan criteria (MC). To investigate which EC predicts more favorable outcomes in terms of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), we conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA).

methodsA database search was conducted on PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library, to identify studies comparing OS and RFS between patients within the MC and those exceeding the MC but within the EC. Hazard ratios (HRs) were pooled using a random-effects NMA and validated in an in-house cohort of 1,008 LT recipients.

resultsAmong 22,466 articles identified, 35 studies with 45 pairwise comparisons were included in the NMA along with 8 different EC. The University of California San Francisco (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.19-1.71), Up-to-Seven (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.15-1.97), and Hangzhou criteria (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.11-2.57) showed inferior OS to the MC. The MC ranked highest for both OS and RFS, followed by Metroticket 2.0 for OS and the Asan criteria for RFS. In the validation cohort, both Metroticket 2.0 and AFP model yielded more favorable HCC-specific mortality than other EC.

conclusionsSeveral EC, of which those of Metroticket 2.0 were the best, yielded comparable outcomes to the MC. AFP-based EC such as Metroticket 2.0 and AFP model appeared to be useful in both the NMA and the validation cohort, suggesting a potential role in identifying selected low-risk patients beyond the MC.

Indexed as

alpha-FetoproteinsCarcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationDisease-Free SurvivalHumansPrognosisProportional Hazards Modelsalpha-FetoproteinsCarcinoma, hepatocellularLiver transplantationMeta-analysisPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID41508341
PMCPMC13141857

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.