Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41499497›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

A new era of bioclimatic extremes in the terrestrial Arctic.

Juha Aalto, Matti Kämäräinen, Mika Rantanen, Pekka Niittynen, Gareth K Phoenix, Jonathan Lenoir, Ilya Maclean, Miska Luoto

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Juha AaltoClimate Impacts and Adaptation, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-6819-4911
Matti KämäräinenClimate Impacts and Adaptation, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-9180-6779
Mika RantanenClimate Impacts and Adaptation, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-4279-0322
Pekka NiittynenDepartment of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-7290-029X
Gareth K PhoenixPlants Photosynthesis and Soil, School of Biosciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0911-8107
Jonathan LenoirUMR CNRS 7058, Ecologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés (EDYSAN), Université de Picardie Jules Verne, Amiens, France.ORCID 0000-0003-0638-9582
Ilya MacleanEnvironment & Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8030-9136
Miska LuotoDepartment of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-6203-5143

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Arctic climate is rapidly warming, but long-term changes in extreme weather events that cause major ecosystem disturbances are not well understood. Here, by using a state-of-the-art atmospheric reanalysis spanning the past seven decades, we show that, in many parts of the terrestrial Arctic, the frequency of extreme weather events has increased sharply. We found pronounced spatial variability in bioclimatic extremes during the past 30 years, including more droughts in the high-Arctic and greater area affected by winter-warming and rain-on-snow events, especially in the European Arctic region. Across one-third of the Arctic domain, such extreme events have only recently begun to occur. Thus, the Arctic is entering a novel era of bioclimatic extremes with likely severe consequences on cold ecosystems.

Identifiers

PMID41499497
PMCPMC12778043

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.