ArticleMediators of inflammation2025
Development and Evaluation of an Innovative Inflammatory Prognostic Score for Predicting Long-Term Mortality in Patients With Pulmonary Embolism.
Article in Mediators of inflammation, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Risk Stratification in Pulmonary Embolism: Prognostic Value of PESI, WELLS, PADUA, and IMPROVE Scores in Relation to Laboratory Markers.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026Article
- Development and Evaluation of an Innovative Inflammatory Prognostic Score for Predicting Long-Term Mortality in Patients With Pulmonary Embolism.Mediators of inflammation · 2025Article
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7 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
Background: Systemic inflammation is closely associated with adverse outcomes in pulmonary embolism (PE). This study aimed to develop and evaluate a novel inflammatory prognostic score (IPS) derived from multiple inflammation-related biomarkers to predict long-term all-cause mortality in patients with acute PE. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 1642 patients with confirmed acute PE admitted between January 2016 and January 2024 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University and the Affiliated People Hospital of Ningbo University. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Follow-up was conducted in January 2025. Fifteen inflammatory biomarkers were analyzed, including C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), lymphocyte count (LYM), monocyte count (MON), red cell distribution width (RDW), platelet count (PLT), and eight derived indices: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived NLR (dNLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil-MLR (NMLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), and inflammatory burden index (IBI). IPS was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression. Prognostic performance was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, multivariable Cox regression, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and random survival forest (RSF). Results: During a median follow-up of 43.87 months, 262 patients (16.0%) died. The IPS was calculated as: IPS = 0.395 × IBI + 0.236 × RDW + 0.208 × SIRI + 0.115 × MLR + 0.040 × CRP. Patients with high IPS (≥0.55) had a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality compared to those with low IPS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 2.55, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.92-3.38; Conclusions: The IPS, derived from five routinely available inflammatory biomarkers, was independently associated with long-term mortality and significantly enhanced risk stratification beyond traditional clinical predictors in patients with acute PE. This score may support early prognostic assessment and individualized management.
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