Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41496901›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2026

Environmental dynamics impact whether matching is optimal.

Yipei Guo, Ann M Hermundstad

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Yipei GuoJanelia Research Campus, Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Ashburn, VA 20147, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4583-8865
Ann M HermundstadJanelia Research Campus, Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Ashburn, VA 20147, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0377-0516

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Foraging animals often sample options that yield rewards with different probabilities. In such scenarios, many animals exhibit "matching," whereby they allocate their choices such that the fraction of rewarded samples is equal across options. While matching can be optimal in environments with diminishing returns, this condition alone is not sufficient to determine optimality. Moreover, diminishing returns arise when resources deplete and replenish over time, but their form depends on the temporal structure and statistics of replenishment. Here, we investigate how these environmental properties influence whether matching is optimal. We consider an agent that samples options at fixed rates, and we derive the resulting reward probabilities across different types of environments. This allows us to analytically determine conditions under which the optimal policy exhibits matching. When all options share the same replenishment dynamics, matching emerges as optimal across a wide range of environments. However, when dynamics differ across options, optimal policies can deviate from matching. In such cases, the rank-ordering of observed reward probabilities depends only on the qualitative nature of the replenishment process, and not on the specific replenishment rates. As a result, the optimal policy can exhibit under- or over-matching depending on which options are more rewarding. We use this result to identify environments where performance differs substantially between matching and optimality. Finally, we show that fluctuations in replenishment rates-representing environmental stochasticity or internal uncertainty-can amplify deviations from matching. These findings deepen our understanding of the relationship between environmental variability and behavioral optimality, and provide testable predictions across diverse settings.

Indexed as

choice behaviorforagingmatching lawstochastic environmentsuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID41496901
PMCPMC12767605

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.