Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41493902›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2026

Quantifying the Role of Importation on Sustained Malaria Transmission in a Low-to-Moderate Burden Region of Southwest Uganda.

Adrienne Epstein, Okiria Aramanzan, Isaiah Nabende, Tonny Max Kayondo, Michael Obbo, Robert Tumwesigye, Innocent Wiringilimaana, Monica Mbabazi, Brian A Kagurusi, Stephen Tukwasibwe and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Imported malaria predominates in near-elimination settings in Southwestern Uganda.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Adrienne EpsteinDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8253-6102
Okiria AramanzanInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Isaiah NabendeInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Tonny Max KayondoInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Michael ObboInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Robert TumwesigyeInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.ORCID 0009-0004-5288-5098
Innocent WiringilimaanaInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Monica MbabaziDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Brian A KagurusiInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Stephen TukwasibweInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0002-6469-6516
Isaac SsewanyanaInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Isobel RoutledgeDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Jessica BriggsDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8078-3898
Amy WesolowskiDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6320-3575
Bryan GreenhouseDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Grant DorseyDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0740-0317
Emmanuel ArinaitweInfectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda.
Isabel Rodriguez-BarraquerDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6784-1021

Funding

Malaria across borders: Measuring imported infections and contributions to local transmission in Uganda and ZimbabweR01AI163201 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI RODRÍGUEZ-BARRAQUER, ISABEL, WESOLOWSKI, AMY · 2021 to 2025
$3.7M
Mentoring translational scientists in international infectious disease researchK24AI144048 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Bryan R Greenhouse · 2019 to 2026
$1.6M
Improving the accuracy of malaria surveillance with serology and parasite genetic dataK23AI166009 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Jessica Briggs · 2022 to 2026
$955k
NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI166009NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI144048NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI163201NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundParasite importation remains a challenge to malaria elimination. The extent to which human travel contributes to sustained transmission in low-to-moderate burden areas is poorly understood.

methodsWe conducted a 14-month longitudinal cohort study in Southwest Uganda. A total of 1918 individuals from 400 households were followed bimonthly. Travel histories and household characteristics were collected through surveys. Symptomatic and asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections were captured through health facility surveillance and household reports (for symptomatic cases) and qPCR (for asymptomatic infections). Multilevel logistic regression models estimated associations between travel and infection. Population attributable fractions quantified travel's contribution to malaria.

resultsOver the study, 283 infections (244 symptomatic episodes and 39 asymptomatic infections) were recorded. Associations between travel and malaria varied spatially and temporally, with positive associations in lower transmission villages (OR = 4.38, 95% CI 1.80-10.64) and during periods of low transmission. Associations were strongest for short-distance trips to nearby areas of higher incidence. Population attributable fraction analyses suggested travel accounted directly for 14% of malaria cases in low-transmission villages overall, rising to 30% during periods of low transmission.

conclusionsOvernight travel contributed to malaria burden, particularly in low-transmission villages and during low seasons, highlighting the need for strategies that address both local transmission and importation.

Indexed as

Malaria, FalciparumTravelAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFamily CharacteristicsFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPlasmodium falciparumUgandaeliminationimportationmalariaPlasmodium falciparumUganda

Identifiers

PMID41493902
PMCPMC13127743

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.