Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41493837›Full record

ArticleHepatology communications2026

Evolving burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and its complications in a US nationwide healthcare system.

Basim Ali, Ronald Samuel, Jennifer R Kramer, Liang Li, Xian Yu, Yumei Cao, Roxanne Desiderio, George Cholankeril, Steven M Asch, Hashem B El-Serag and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Basim AliSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Ronald SamuelSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Jennifer R KramerVA HSR&D Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness, and Safety, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2953-4949
Liang LiDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Xian YuVA HSR&D Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness, and Safety, Houston, Texas, USA.
Yumei CaoVA HSR&D Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness, and Safety, Houston, Texas, USA.
Roxanne DesiderioSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
George CholankerilSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5335-8426
Steven M AschDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5838-5335
Hashem B El-SeragSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5964-7579
Fasiha KanwalSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6715-3966

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMetabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a growing public health problem. Measuring the burden of cirrhosis and its complications in people with MASLD is important to inform health care delivery.

methodsWe aimed to quantify the changes in the burden of MASLD-related cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a nationwide U.S. healthcare system. We used data from the Veterans Health Administration to examine temporal trends between 2010 and 2021 in the annual incidence and prevalence of cirrhosis and HCC in a large cohort of patients with MASLD, and to compare them to those in patients with hepatitis C virus infection (HCV) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD).

resultsThe MASLD cohort grew from 78,082 in 2010 to 621,400 patients in 2021. The annual age-standardized incidence rates of MASLD-related cirrhosis rose from 1.39 (95% CI, 1.13, 1.65) to 1.91 (95% CI, 1.80, 2.02) per 1000 patients (37.4% increase). HCC incidence increased from 0.08 (95% CI, 0.02, 0.14) to 0.22 (0.18, 0.26) per 1000 patients (175% increase). Cirrhosis and HCC prevalence also increased, particularly among adults older than age 65, Whites, Hispanics, and individuals with diabetes. Temporal trends in the incidence and prevalence of cirrhosis and HCC among patients with ALD were similar to those in MASLD. In contrast, patients with HCV experienced a sharp decline in the incidence of cirrhosis and HCC in this time frame.

conclusionsThe burden of MASLD-related cirrhosis and HCC is growing. While the burden of liver complications is similar between MASLD and ALD, the substantially larger size of the MASLD population means that the modest increases in incidence of cirrhosis and HCC could translate into a large absolute burden.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularFatty LiverLiver CirrhosisLiver NeoplasmsAdultAgedCost of IllnessFemaleHepatitis CHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceUnited Statescirrhosisepidemiologyhepatocellular carcinomaliver diseaseMASLDmetabolic syndromeVeterans Health Administration

Identifiers

PMID41493837
PMCPMC12772495

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.