ArticleSurgery today2026
Impact of thyroid-stimulating hormone ratio change on the progression-free survival of patients receiving gemcitabine, cisplatin, and durvalumab therapy for advanced biliary tract cancer.
Article in Surgery today, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
purposeTo investigate the independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) after gemcitabine, cisplatin, and durvalumab (GCD) therapy for advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC), including the thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) ratio pre- and post-GCD.
methodsThe subjects of this retrospective analysis were 29 patients receiving GCD for advanced BTC. The cutoff TSH ratios were determined by a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for PFS. The independent predictors of PFS after GCD were determined by univariate and multivariate analyses.
resultsThe median PFS was 4.9 (range, 0.9-16.8) months. The objective response and disease control rates were 13.0% and 52.2%, respectively. The cutoff values of the TSH ratio after one and two cycles were 0.97 [area under the ROC curve (AUROC): 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.70-1.00], p = 0.02] and 1.2 (AUROC: 0.820, 95% CI: 0.664-0.976), respectively. Multivariate analysis identified pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 5 [hazard ratio (HR): 6.27, 95% CI: 1.83-21.5, p = 0.004] and TSH ratio after two cycles of < 1.2 (HR: 3.25, 95% CI: 1.25-8.46, p = 0.02) as independent predictors of PFS.
conclusionThe TSH ratio after two GCD cycles of < 1.2 and a pretreatment NLR ≥ 5 are potential prognostic factors for poor PFS.
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