Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41490253›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Economic evaluation of biomarker-based surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Thai patients with Compensated Liver Cirrhosis.

Nutcha Pinjaroen, Wirichada Pan-Ngum, Kittiyod Poovorawan, David Wastlund, Fabian Mueller, Peng Lu, Rebecca Sim Shu Yu, Pisit Tangkijvanich

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Nutcha PinjaroenDepartment of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Wirichada Pan-NgumDepartment of Tropical Hygiene, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9839-5359
Kittiyod PoovorawanDepartment of Clinical Tropical Medicine, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
David WastlundVista Health Ltd, Singapore.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5074-4740
Fabian MuellerRoche Diagnostics Asia Pacific Ltd., Singapore, Singapore.
Peng LuVista Health Ltd, Singapore.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4773-5404
Rebecca Sim Shu YuVista Health Ltd, Singapore.
Pisit TangkijvanichCenter of Excellence in Hepatitis and Liver Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2926-8671

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the leading cause of cancer-related death in Thailand. However, most Thai patients at high risk of HCC lack access to routine surveillance programs. This study used ultrasound- or biomarker-based screening approaches to assess the cost-utility analysis of routine HCC surveillance in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis (CLC).

methodThe model utilized a Markov-style microsimulation framework to simulate outcomes from alternative HCC surveillance methods for Thai patients. The model was designed to represent Thai patients and healthcare as accurately as possible, and novel Thai patient data was used to estimate treatment and survival associated with screening. Outcomes included diagnostic performance, total costs, and overall health expressed as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was assessed according to the Thai willingness-to-pay threshold (฿160,000 = 4,800 USD).

resultsResults suggest that routine HCC surveillance is likely cost-effective in Thai patients with CLC. Among the biomarker-based approaches, GAAD score, which combined gender, age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and des-gamma carboxyprothrombin (DCP), was the most cost-effective due to its high detection of HCC while resulting in comparably few false positive diagnoses. Compared to no routine surveillance, GAAD surveillance is suggested to be cost-effective (ICER: $4,631). Compared to ultrasound plus AFP - the recommended standard of care - GAAD is suggested to be dominant, resulting in better overall health at a lower cost.

conclusionBi-annual routine HCC surveillance is suggested to be cost-effective for the Thai healthcare system when used for patients with CLC. Among biomarker-based approaches, GAAD appears to be the most cost-effective and could maximize the benefits of HCC surveillance in high-risk patients.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, HepatocellularLiver CirrhosisLiver NeoplasmsAdultAgedalpha-FetoproteinsBiomarkersCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedProtein PrecursorsProthrombinacarboxyprothrombinalpha-FetoproteinsBiomarkersBiomarkers, TumorProtein PrecursorsProthrombin

Identifiers

PMID41490253
PMCPMC12768342

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.