Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41488396›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2025

All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Guixiang Zhao, Lu Wang, Siyuan Lei, Ya Li, Jiansheng Li, Zhenzhen Feng

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. The Disproportionate Burden of Cardiovascular Disease in Mild-to-Moderate COPD.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Guixiang ZhaoDepartment of Respiratory Diseases, the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0007-0022-584X
Lu WangDepartment of Respiratory Diseases, the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, People's Republic of China.
Siyuan LeiDepartment of Respiratory Diseases, the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, People's Republic of China.
Ya LiDepartment of Respiratory Diseases, the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, People's Republic of China.
Jiansheng LiDepartment of Respiratory Diseases, the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-6485-2371
Zhenzhen FengDepartment of Respiratory Diseases, the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, People's Republic of China.

Funding

Henan Province Key R&D and Promotion Program NO. 252102310457Henan Province Key R&D and Promotion Program NO. 252102310459Henan Province Medical Science and Technology Key Project Joint Construction Program NO. LHGJ20240671Henan Province Medical Science and Technology Key Project Joint Construction Program NO. LHGJ20240673Joint Construction Research Project of the National Traditional Chinese Medicine Inheritance and Innovation Center NO. 2024ZXZX1177Key Scientific Research Project of Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province NO. 26A360003National Key R&D Program of China NO. 2023YFC3502600National Natural Science Foundation of China’s Young Scientists Fund NO. 82205313National Natural Science Foundation of China’s Young Scientists Fund NO. 82505808Special Research Project on Traditional Chinese Medicine of Henan Province NO. 2025ZY2001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major global cause of death, imposing substantial socioeconomic and healthcare burdens. This meta-analysis synthesizes evidence on all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks in COPD populations to identify high-risk subgroups and guide precision management strategies. Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library for cohort studies reporting death risks in COPD from database inception to April 10, 2025. Study screening, data extraction, and quality assessment were independently performed by two investigators. Meta-analyses pooled risks for all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Sensitivity analyses tested robustness; publication bias was assessed via funnel plots and Egger's test. Results: Twenty-seven studies covering 286,314 showed COPD patients had significantly higher all-cause mortality versus non-COPD individuals (HR, 1.80; 95% CI: 1.40-2.30). Mortality risk exhibited a graded increase with COPD severity compared to non-COPD individuals: mild (HR, 1.32; 95% CI: 1.19-1.47), moderate (HR, 1.62; 95% CI: 1.45-1.81), severe (HR, 2.18; 95% CI: 1.59-2.99), and very severe (HR, 2.94; 95% CI: 1.78-4.85). When stratified by smoking status, COPD patients had consistently higher mortality than their non-COPD counterparts within each subgroup: never-smokers (HR, 1.41; 95% CI: 1.27-1.56), former smokers (HR, 1.37; 95% CI: 1.30-1.45), and current smokers (HR, 1.48; 95% CI: 1.25-1.76). The presence of comorbidities further amplified mortality risks in COPD patients versus non-COPD individuals, particularly in those with respiratory diseases (HR, 3.64; 95% CI: 3.10-4.27), cardiovascular diseases (HR, 1.29; 95% CI: 1.10-1.50), and all-cancers (HR, 1.69; 95% CI: 1.37-2.10), especially lung cancer (HR, 2.57; 95% CI: 2.04-3.24). Conclusion: COPD patients have significantly higher death risks than non-COPD individuals, worsening with disease severity. Independent determinants of COPD-attributable mortality risk comprise smoking, coexisting respiratory diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and cancer (particularly lung cancer). These findings provide an evidence-based foundation for developing targeted intervention strategies to mitigate COPD-related mortality.

Indexed as

Pulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAgedCause of DeathFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness Indexchronic obstructive pulmonary diseasemeta-analysismortality risksystematic review

Identifiers

PMID41488396
PMCPMC12764237

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.