Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41484858›Full record

SynthesisBMC musculoskeletal disorders2026

Performance of clinical prediction models for identifying postmenopausal osteoporosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Xinyi Huang, Yiwen Gan, Xiangyun Guo, Yunning Li, Liang Wang, Jinran Qin, Chuanrui Sun, Yuhui Yin, Ming Chen, Yanming Xie and 3 more

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Xinyi Huang *School of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Yiwen Gan *School of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Xiangyun Guo *School of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Yunning Li *School of Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Liang WangSchool of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Jinran QinSchool of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Chuanrui SunWangjing Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100102, China.
Yuhui YinWangjing Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100102, China.
Ming ChenWangjing Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100102, China.
Yanming XieInstitute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China.
Yang GuoSchool of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China. drguoyang@njucm.edu.cn.
Xu WeiWangjing Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100102, China. weixu.007@163.com.
Yili ZhangSchool of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, 210023, China. tcmzyl@njucm.edu.cn.

Funding

Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission, Administrative Commission of Zhongguancun Science Park Z221100007422074the Foundation of Jiangsu CM Clinical Innovation Centre of Degenerative Bone & Joint Disease (Jiangsu science and education of traditional Chinese medicine) 2021-No. 4the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Public Welfare Research Institutes 2020YJSZX-4the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province BK20220468the Young Talent Lifting Project of the Chinese Society of Traditional Chinese Medicine CACM-2022-QNRC2-B28
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeEarly clinical recognition of postmenopausal osteoporosis (PMOP) can be challenging. With the advancement of machine learning, several prediction models for PMOP have been developed. This study assessed their performance by carrying out a systematic review and meta-analysis.

methodsThe PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), WanFang database and China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP) were systematically searched. Studies with a sample size of at least 100 and involving postmenopausal women were included Included models were descriptively summarized, and meta-analyses were conducted to derive discrimination estimates. Homogeneous results from different studies were pooled using MedCalc software.

resultsOut of 37,115 identified studies, 21 were included. Most of the models were developed using data from cross-sectional studies and the sample size of included models ranged from 103 to 12,175, totaling 45,383 participants with 16,008 positive events. Several models contained some similar predictors, including age, prior fractures, and body mass index (BMI). We also conducted a meta-analysis that included 22 models with reported AUC and its 95% confidence interval (95% CI), which demonstrated that the prediction models have good discriminative performance. The most frequently observed predictive variables include age, weight, body mass index (BMI), menopause status, height, fracture history, lower limb cramps, fatigue, waist circumference,diabetes mellitus,hyperlipidemia and glucocorticoids.

conclusionsWe found that the PMOP prediction models demonstrated promising performance. However, this review also highlights several potential limitations of current approaches, including a high risk of bias and limited external validation. Future research should aim to refine these models using larger and more diverse populations, as well as by incorporating additional risk factors to improve their clinical applicability.

Indexed as

Osteoporosis, PostmenopausalCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRisk FactorsMachine learningMeta-analysisOsteoporosisPrediction model

Identifiers

PMID41484858
PMCPMC12857129

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.