Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41482816›Full record

ArticleCNS neuroscience & therapeutics2026

Association of Original and Revised Pooled Cohort Equations With Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Mortality.

Chuanhao Lu, Min Li, Deyu Sun, Hongchen Zhang, Liang Li, Yang Yu, Juan Wang, Lele Cao, Zhen Hu, Xia Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CNS neuroscience & therapeutics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Chuanhao LuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Min LiDepartment of Neurology, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Deyu SunDavid Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA.
Hongchen ZhangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Liang LiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Yang YuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Juan WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Lele CaoDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.
Zhen HuInstitute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.
Xia LiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, China.

Funding

Air Force Medical University 2025 Clinical Research Funding Program Project 2025LC2518Air Force Medical University Interdisciplinary Integration Project 2024JC002National Natural Science Foundation of China 82371337National Natural Science Foundation of China 82401531Shaanxi Creative Talents Promotion Plan-Technological Innovation TeamShaanxi Creative Talents Promotion Plan-Technological Innovation Team 2022TD-42Shaanxi Health Scientific Research Innovation Capacity Enhancement Plan 2025TD-17Shaanxi International Scientific and Technological Cooperation Project 2023-GHZD-21Xijing Hospital Doctoral Dissertation Research Funding 2025BZ03Xijing Hospital Medical Staff Technical Skills Enhancement Program 2024XJSM14Xijing Hospital Medical Staff Training Boost Special Plan XJZT25CX34
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular (CVD) and cerebrovascular diseases (CeVD) are leading causes of mortality. The Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) are widely used for ASCVD risk prediction, but face calibration concerns, particularly in diverse populations. The Revised Pooled Cohort Equations (RPCE) were developed to address these limitations. While prior research has evaluated these models for ASCVD, less is known about their performance for CVD and CeVD mortality outcomes.

objectiveThis study aimed to comprehensively compare the association of PCE and RPCE with CVD mortality and combined CVD and CeVD mortality, including subgroup analyses by race and gender, within a nationally representative US adult population.

methodsWe analyzed 16,584 primary prevention participants (aged 40-79 years) from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2018), linked to National Death Index mortality data. We calculated 10-year ASCVD risk using both PCE and RPCE. Bland-Altman plots assessed score agreement. Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the association of standardized PCE and RPCE scores with CVD and combined CVD and CeVD mortality, adjusting for confounders and stratifying by race and gender.

resultsBoth PCE and RPCE were significantly associated with CVD mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for PCE: 1.91 [95% CI: 1.82-2.01]; RPCE: 1.65 [95% CI: 1.59-1.72]) and combined CVD and CeVD mortality (adjusted HR for PCE: 1.91 [95% CI: 1.82-2.00]; RPCE: 1.65 [95% CI: 1.60-1.72]). Bland-Altman analyses revealed PCE consistently overestimated risk compared to RPCE, with differences increasing at higher risk levels. RPCE demonstrated improved calibration, especially in racially diverse populations, where PCE overestimation was more pronounced.

conclusionBoth PCE and RPCE are robust prognostic tools for vascular mortality. However, RPCE offers improved calibration, particularly in racially diverse populations, by providing more conservative yet comparably predictive risk estimates. These findings highlight the importance of selecting risk models tailored to target populations to optimize prevention and avoid potential overtreatment.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCerebrovascular DisordersAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysRisk FactorsUnited Statescardiovascular mortalitycerebrovascular mortalitypooled cohort equationsvascular risk assessment

Identifiers

PMID41482816
PMCPMC12759261

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.