Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41475565›Full record

ArticleJournal of affective disorders2026

Pre-attack crisis indicators in mass shooters: Differences across no-, single-, and dual-harm groups.

Diego A Díaz-Faes, Sonali Rajan, Charles C Branas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of affective disorders, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Diego A Díaz-FaesDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America. Electronic address: da3166@cumc.columbia.edu.
Sonali RajanDepartment of Health Studies & Applied Educational Psychology, Columbia University, Teachers College, New York, NY, United States of America.
Charles C BranasDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.

Funding

From Child Maltreatment to Violence Involvement: Life Course Pathways, Trajectories, and Patterns.K99HD120616 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI DIAZ-FAES, DIEGO A. · 2025 to 2025
$265k
ACL HHS R49CE003555NICHD NIH HHS K99 HD120616
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEvidence suggests that a non-negligible number of mass violence perpetrators experience psychological distress or crisis before the attack. Prior research comparing histories of self- and other-harm suggested that those who engaged in both face elevated risks of adverse outcomes. However, despite its potential, this framework has not been used to examine pre-attack crisis signs among mass shooters.

methodsUsing The Violence Project Database, we analyzed data from 197 U.S. mass shooters in public incidents (1966-2023). Participants were classified into harm-level groups: no-harm, single-harm (either self- or other-harm), and dual-harm (both). We conducted a latent class analysis (LCA) using eight crisis indicators from the months preceding the shootings to identify unobserved profiles.

resultsOne-third had a history of suicidality, over half had harmed others, and 20.3 % met the criteria for dual-harm. The LCA identified four classes: (1) Depressed and agitated, (2) No-crisis, (3) Psychotic symptoms, and (4) Emotionally labile and aggressive. The Emotionally labile and aggressive class showed a significant overrepresentation of dual-harm individuals and was marked by abusive behavior, mood instability, and agitation. The No-crisis group, the largest class, showed low levels of crisis indicators, even though many members had histories of harm.

conclusionsFindings suggest that mass shooters vary in the pre-attack crisis indicators and can be classified into distinct groups. Although three-fifths of mass shooters had no pre-attack crisis indicators, a non-trivial number did exhibit identifiable signs of crisis, highlighting the heterogeneity in pre-attack crisis indicators and suggesting the need for prevention strategies that account for different profiles and needs. A harm-based trichotomy framework (no-harm, single-harm, and dual-harm) may help identify those with more acute emotional and behavioral risk.

Indexed as

Mass Casualty IncidentsSelf-Injurious BehaviorViolenceAdultDepressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPsychological DistressPsychotic DisordersSuicideUnited StatesAggressionDual-harmGun violenceMass shootingsSelf-harmSuicide

Identifiers

PMID41475565
PMCPMC12880729

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.