Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41469969›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Rising mortality trends due to falls among the elderly in Southwest China from 2014 to 2022: age-period-cohort analysis of 6,524 individuals.

Zhi Lei, Haohang Zeng, Tianyong Wu, Dongyang Liu, HaoLin Zhang, Song Fan, Qing Zeng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Zhi Lei *Department of Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou, Sichuan, China.
Haohang Zeng *School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Tianyong WuDepartment of Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou, Sichuan, China.
Dongyang LiuDepartment of Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou, Sichuan, China.
HaoLin ZhangSchool of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Song FanSchool of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, China. fansong@swmu.edu.cn.
Qing ZengSchool of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China. 100133@cqmu.edu.cn.

Funding

Chinese Preventive Medicine Association JKCLPJ202501003Luzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention Research LZCDC2024ZD-02
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccording to previous studies, falls are one of the important causes of death among the elderly. In recent years, the fall-related mortality rate among the elderly population has been on a continuous rise, which is significantly affected by factors such as age growth and period changes. However, traditional epidemiological.

objectiveTo examine the temporal trends and epidemiological characteristics of fall-induced mortality among older adults in Luzhou City, Southwest China, between 2014 and 2022, with the aim of providing targeted fall prevention strategies for the elderly.

methodsMortality data were analyzed using the Joinpoint regression model to determine Annual Percent Change (APC) and Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC). An age-period-cohort model constructed in R 4.3.2 evaluated the influences of these dimensions on mortality trends. Our analysis focused on differences in trends between male and female elderly residents.

resultsThe study included a total of 6,524 elderly people over 60 years old who died from falls. Both genders exhibited increasing mortality trends, with males showing an AAPC of 6.168% and females an AAPC of 6.3%. Notably, the risk of death from falls was significantly higher in older age groups, with males aged 80-84 showing more than double the risk compared to those aged 60-64. Similarly, females in the same age group had a 3.8-fold higher risk. The period analysis indicated a near doubling of risk from 2014 to 2022. No significant trends were observed in cohort effects.

conclusionThe mortality from falls among elderly residents in this study has shown a concerning upward trend from 2014 to 2022. The increased risk is particularly pronounced with advancing age and over recent years for both genders. These findings highlight the urgent need for enhanced fall prevention measures targeted at the elderly population to mitigate this growing public health issue.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsMortalityAgedAged, 80 and overChinaCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedAge-period-cohort modelAPCElderlyFallsMortality trends

Identifiers

PMID41469969
PMCPMC12754994

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.