Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41461934›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular and interventional radiology2026

Predicting Antegrade Success in Femoropopliteal Occlusions Using Radiological and Clinical Machine Learning Models.

Xiaoxiang Zhou, Rong Fan, Xiaohu Meng, Xin Fang, Zibo Feng, Meng Ye, Hongkun Zhang, Chenyang Qiu, Ziheng Wu

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular and interventional radiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xiaoxiang ZhouDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China.
Rong FanDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China.
Xiaohu MengVascular Surgery Department, The First People's Hospital of Hangzhou, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Xin FangVascular Surgery Department, The First People's Hospital of Hangzhou, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Zibo FengDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Liyuan Hospital Affiliated to Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Meng YeDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Hongkun ZhangDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China.
Chenyang QiuDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China. docqiu@zju.edu.cn.
Ziheng WuDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China. wuziheng@zju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8960-9733

Funding

A clinical research project initiated by researchers from the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine BL202221National Natural Science Foundation of China No.82300554Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province No.LQ24H020003the Technical Innovation Key Project of Zhejiang Province 2024C03023
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo develop and validate a machine learning model integrating imaging, demographic, and laboratory features to predict the technical success of antegrade endovascular approaches for femoropopliteal artery occlusion. MATERIALS AND

methodsThe retrospective multicenter study included 379 femoropopliteal artery interventions (training set: n = 264; internal test set: n = 66; external test set: n = 49) treated between January 2020 and June 2023. Radiological features-plaque burden, composition, vessel remodeling, and occlusion length-were extracted from non-contrast and contrast-enhanced CT. Clinical features included demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory results. Feature selection was performed using univariate and multivariate analysis. A random forest model was developed with three variations: clinical, radiological, and combined clinical-radiological. Model performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsTechnical failure occurred in 136 of 379 interventions (36%). Thirteen key predictors were identified, including hypertension, low-density lipoprotein, aspartate transaminase, occlusion length, Agatston score, and other imaging-based features. The clinical, radiological, and combined clinical-radiological models were developed based on the selected features. The combined model showed the highest performance, with AUC values of 0.81 in the training set, 0.77 in the internal test set, and 0.78 in the external test set. Calibration improved predictive accuracy while maintaining high specificity (> 0.75). DCA confirmed this model's superior net clinical benefit.

conclusionsA machine learning model combining radiological and clinical features provides high accuracy in predicting the technical success of antegrade access in femoropopliteal interventions. The model's high specificity and clinical utility may support preoperative decision-making.

Indexed as

Arterial Occlusive DiseasesEndovascular ProceduresFemoral ArteryMachine LearningPeripheral Arterial DiseasePopliteal ArteryAgedComputed Tomography AngiographyFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeAntegrade accessFemoropopliteal artery occlusionMachine learning modelRadiological predictionTechnical success prediction

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.