Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41455820›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Advancing leprosy risk prediction through identification of a whole blood host transcriptomic biomarker signature including non-coding genes.

Matheus Rogerio Almeida, Elisa Gherardi, Suzanne van Veen, Luca Maharavo, Aart Rosmolen, Emma van Eerde, Fons J Verbeek, Marufa Khatun, Santosh Soren, Abu Sufian Chowdhury and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Matheus Rogerio AlmeidaLeiden University Center of Infectious Diseases (LUCID), Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden, The Netherlands.
Elisa GherardiLeiden University Center of Infectious Diseases (LUCID), Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden, The Netherlands.
Suzanne van VeenLeiden University Center of Infectious Diseases (LUCID), Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden, The Netherlands.
Luca MaharavoLeiden University Center of Infectious Diseases (LUCID), Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden, The Netherlands.
Aart RosmolenLeiden Institute of Advanced Computer Science, Leiden Faculty of Science, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Emma van EerdeLeiden Institute of Advanced Computer Science, Leiden Faculty of Science, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Fons J VerbeekLeiden Institute of Advanced Computer Science, Leiden Faculty of Science, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Marufa KhatunResearch program, The Leprosy Mission International Bangladesh, Nilphamari, Bangladesh.
Santosh SorenResearch program, The Leprosy Mission International Bangladesh, Nilphamari, Bangladesh.
Abu Sufian ChowdhuryResearch program, The Leprosy Mission International Bangladesh, Nilphamari, Bangladesh.
Khorshed AlamResearch program, The Leprosy Mission International Bangladesh, Nilphamari, Bangladesh.
Johan Chandra RoyResearch program, The Leprosy Mission International Bangladesh, Nilphamari, Bangladesh.
Cristiana Santos de MacedoCenter for Technological Development in Health, Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Anouk van HooijLeiden University Center of Infectious Diseases (LUCID), Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden, The Netherlands.
Annemieke GelukLeiden University Center of Infectious Diseases (LUCID), Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden, The Netherlands. a.geluk@lumc.nl.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Leprosy is a debilitating disease that requires early detection for effective control, yet diagnosis still relies on clinical signs. Previous RNA-Seq analysis of coding genes from leprosy patients' household contacts (HHC) who developed leprosy (progressors) and those who did not, revealed a 4-gene RNA signature, RISK4LEP, that predicted leprosy 4-61 months before clinical onset (AUC: 0.86). To improve this signature, the present study included non-coding genes and applied novel Differential Gene Expression (DGE) analyses and machine learning approaches to the RNA-Seq dataset. This strategy identified significant DGE between progressors and HHC for 40 genes. Next, the 10 most significantly different expressed genes, as well as genes from the optimal 3-gene signatures, were validated by RT-qPCR in an independent cohort. This analysis confirmed the diagnostic potential to discriminate progressors from HHC for 12 genes. Moreover, RPS21 and SNHG5 genes were each significantly higher expressed in progressors compared to diagnosed leprosy patients, suggesting their temporary role during early (preclinical) leprosy. Furthermore, the optimal 3-gene signature consisted of two non-coding genes and one coding gene (SNHG5, SNHG8, C6orf48; sensitivity: 88%; specificity: 88%; AUC: 0.96). This study thus identified an improved prospective host transcriptional risk signature in blood based on non-coding genes predicting the development of leprosy.

Indexed as

BiomarkersLeprosyTranscriptomeAdultFemaleGene Expression ProfilingHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersBiomarkerDiagnosisLeprosyNon-coding genesPredictionTranscriptomics

Identifiers

PMID41455820
PMCPMC12852832

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.