Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41449431›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of medical research2025

Association between serum osmolality trajectories and mortality in sepsis patients: a retrospective multi-cohort study.

Kun Fang, Jiacheng Shen, Bangchuan Hu, Ziqiang Shao, Li Li

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of medical research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kun FangZhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Jiacheng ShenGeriatric Medicine Centre, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Affiliated People's Hospital, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Bangchuan HuEmergency and Critical Care Centre, Department of Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated People's Hospital, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Ziqiang ShaoEmergency and Critical Care Centre, Department of Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated People's Hospital, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Li LiZhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. lilihbch@163.com.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82172153
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSepsis commonly leads to fluid and electrolyte imbalances, often reflected in abnormal serum osmolality. Although static measurements of osmolality have been investigated, the prognostic significance of dynamic changes in serum osmolality over time remains poorly understood in patients with sepsis.

methodsWe conducted a comprehensive analysis of 22,737 septic patients from the MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD databases, with external validation performed using an independent cohort of 303 patients from Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital. Latent class trajectory modeling was applied to identify distinct patterns of serum osmolality during the first 4 days in the ICU. The association between trajectory patterns and mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Mediation analysis was employed to explore potential biological mechanisms, while parametric g-formula simulations were used to evaluate the impact of trajectory-specific fluid management strategies.

resultsThree distinct serum osmolality trajectories were identified: stable (ST), ascending (AS), and descending (DS). Compared to the ST group, both the AS and DS groups were associated with significantly higher 28-day mortality (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.61-2.01 for AS; HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.62-2.06 for DS). Mediation analysis indicated that renal dysfunction (accounting for 11.16% of the total effect, P < 0.001) and cumulative positive fluid balance (11.39%, P < 0.001) partially mediated the observed associations. Parametric g-formula simulations revealed substantial heterogeneity in responses to fluid management across trajectory groups, with optimal fluid strategies varying significantly by trajectory pattern and patient characteristics.

conclusionDynamic serum osmolality trajectories are independent predictors of mortality in sepsis, with effects partially mediated through renal dysfunction and fluid imbalance. These findings support the implementation of trajectory-guided precision fluid therapy as a novel framework for individualized sepsis care, challenging one-size-fits-all approaches and offering evidence-based guidance for personalized treatment strategies.

Indexed as

SepsisAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedOsmolar ConcentrationPrognosisRetrospective StudiesFluid managementIntensive care unitMortalitySepsisSerum osmolalityTrajectory modeling

Identifiers

PMID41449431
PMCPMC12849464

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