Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41443770›Full record

Observational studyOccupational and environmental medicine2026

Predicting low back pain-related absenteeism in the Spanish general working population.

Jesús Seco-Calvo, Ana Royuela, Vicente Rodríguez-Pérez, Francisco Kovacs

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Occupational and environmental medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00667316 (Study to Identify the Influence of Different Factors on Workers' Disability Due to Low Back Pain), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00667316 completednot on this map

Study to Identify the Influence of Different Factors on Workers' Disability Due to Low Back Pain

TypeobservationalSponsorKovacs FoundationRan2008 to 2021Enrolled7,300ConditionsLow Back PainArmsSet of questionnaires (respondent)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jesús Seco-CalvoInstitute of Biomedicine (IBIOMED), Universidad de León, León, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7818-9777
Ana RoyuelaBiostatistics unit-IDIPHISA-REIDE, Puerta de Hierro University Hospital of Majadahonda, Majadahonda, Spain aroyuela@idiphim.org.ORCID 0000-0003-1665-081X
Vicente Rodríguez-PérezDepartment of Nursing and Physiotherapy-REIDE, Universidad de Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8887-6669
Francisco KovacsRed Española de Investigadores en Dolencias de la Espalda (REIDE), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-2984-4800

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo identify factors associated with an increased risk of low back pain (LBP)-related sick leave and to develop prognostic models for both the likelihood and duration of such leave.

methodsA total of 7262 actively working adults were recruited consecutively during their annual check-ups. Seventy-seven variables were assessed, including sociodemographic, clinical, work-related, LBP-related and psychosocial factors. Outcomes included the occurrence of LBP-related sick leave and the number of days on leave over an 18-month follow-up period. Multivariable prognostic models were developed

resultsDuring the follow-up, 535 participants (7.4%, 95% CI 6.8 to 8.0) took LBP-related sick leave, of whom 162 were off work for ≥30 days. Predictors of taking sick leave were older age, not being self-employed, a usual LBP episode duration >14 days, higher job insecurity, greater self-expectations of taking sick leave and stronger perceived economic consequences of being on leave. Predictors of longer sick leave (≥ 30 days) were not being self-employed and experiencing LBP while in bed. The models demonstrated good calibration but poor discrimination (C-statistics: 0.607 and 0.604).

conclusionPredicting LBP-related sick leave and its duration among the general Spanish workforce remains challenging. Psychosocial and economic variables outweigh clinical or biological predictors. Self-employment is the only factor associated with a lower risk of both sick leave and being off work for ≥30 days. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00667316.

Indexed as

AbsenteeismLow Back PainSick LeaveAdultEmploymentFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSpainBack PainSick LeaveStatistics

Identifiers

PMID41443770
PMCPMC12911557

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.