Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41441568›Full record

ArticleTropical medicine and infectious disease2025

Epidemiological Trends and Predictive Modeling of Dengue Fever in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Countries.

Qian Ren, Ruoxi Li, Xiaojun Liu, Wei Hao, Xiaojie Zhou, Meide Liu, Hongjiang Zhang, Xinying Feng, Xiaogui Li, Ziwen Zhao and 3 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Tropical medicine and infectious disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Qian RenNational Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Academy of Preventive Medicine), Beijing 102206, China.
Ruoxi LiFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Xiaojun LiuFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Wei HaoFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Xiaojie ZhouBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 100013, China.
Meide LiuBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 100013, China.
Hongjiang ZhangBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 100013, China.
Xinying FengFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Xiaogui LiFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Ziwen ZhaoFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Weiwei HuFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Jianjun ZhangFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.
Zhenjiang XinFengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dengue fever is one of the most important mosquito-borne diseases worldwide. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region is a high-incidence area for dengue fever and a primary source of imported cases in China. Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data, this study statistically analyzed the spatiotemporal distribution of the age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of dengue fever in ten ASEAN countries from 1990 to 2021. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze long-term trends, and future trends from 2022 to 2031 were predicted. In 2021, the ASR of dengue fever varied widely among ASEAN countries. Singapore had the highest ASR (8715 cases per 100,000 persons). After 2000, countries, such as Brunei Darussalam, experienced short-term outbreaks. From 1990 to 2021, seven countries showed a significant upward trend in the ASR (AAPC > 0,

Indexed as

age-standardized incidence rateASEAN countriesdengue feverrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID41441568
PMCPMC12737474

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.