Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41440521›Full record

ArticleMedical sciences (Basel, Switzerland)2025

Risk of Chronic Kidney Disease and Implications in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation for the Development of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events with Machine Learning.

Pedro Moltó-Balado, Josep-Lluís Clua-Espuny, Carlos Tarongi-Vidal, Paula Barrios-Carmona, Victor Alonso-Barberán, Maria-Teresa Balado-Albiol, Andrea Simeó-Monzó, Jorge Canela-Royo, Alba Del Barrio-González

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical sciences (Basel, Switzerland), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Pedro Moltó-BaladoCSI Llíria, Departament de Salut de Arnau de Vilanova, Conselleria de Sanitat, 46160 Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-2703-0408
Josep-Lluís Clua-EspunyEbrictus Research Group, Research Support Unit Terres de l'Ebre, Institut Universitari d'Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), 43500 Tortosa, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6508-5741
Carlos Tarongi-VidalNephrology Department at Dénia Hospital, Conselleria de Sanitat, 03700 Alicante, Spain.
Paula Barrios-CarmonaNephrology Department at Dénia Hospital, Conselleria de Sanitat, 03700 Alicante, Spain.
Victor Alonso-BarberánInstitut d'Educació Secundària El Caminàs, Conselleria d'Educació, 12003 Castellón, Spain.
Maria-Teresa Balado-AlbiolCS Rafalafena, Departament del General de Castelló, Conselleria de Sanitat, 12003 Castellón, Spain.
Andrea Simeó-MonzóClínica Equilibria, 46160 Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0009-0004-7842-2374
Jorge Canela-RoyoCS Delicias Norte (Zaragoza), Servicio Aragonés de Salud, 50010 Zaragoza, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-3297-6078
Alba Del Barrio-GonzálezCSI Llíria, Departament de Salut de Arnau de Vilanova, Conselleria de Sanitat, 46160 Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0009-0007-1842-0977

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) often overlap and may amplify cardiovascular risk. Whether renal dysfunction should be incorporated into composite cardiovascular endpoints in AF remains uncertain. We aimed to quantify AF-associated risk of MACE and evaluate the incremental prognostic value of kidney measures (eGFR and albuminuria) to inform composite outcomes and clinical management.

methodsWe performed a retrospective, community-based cohort study of 40,297 adults aged 65-95 years. Individuals with incident AF (

resultsIncident AF was associated with higher risk of MACE (HR 3.52), CKD (HR 1.97) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.14). CKD was nearly twice more frequent in AF than in non-AF (30.9% vs. 14.5%;

conclusionsNewly diagnosed AF confers a substantial excess risk of MACE and its components. The consistent eGFR and albuminuria in AF support considering clinically meaningful renal endpoints within composite outcomes and prioritizing integrated cardiorenal management. These findings provide actionable evidence to refine risk stratification and endpoint selection in AF research and care.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationCardiovascular DiseasesMachine LearningRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAgedAged, 80 and overAlbuminuriaFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansMalePrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsartificial intelligenceatrial fibrillationchronic kidney diseasemachine learningmajor adverse cardiovascular events

Identifiers

PMID41440521
PMCPMC12735076

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.