Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41437933›Full record

ArticleBiometrics2025

Variable importance measures for heterogeneous treatment effects.

Oliver J Hines, Karla Diaz-Ordaz, Stijn Vansteelandt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Oliver J HinesDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-6720-9755
Karla Diaz-OrdazDepartment of Statistical Science, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3155-1561
Stijn VansteelandtDepartment of Mathematics, Computer Science and Statistics, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, Belgium.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/N013638/1Royal Society-Welcome Trust 218554/Z/19/ZWellcome Trust 218554
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Motivated by applications in precision medicine and treatment effect heterogeneity, recent research has focused on estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) using machine learning (ML). CATE estimates may represent complicated functions that provide little insight into the key drivers of heterogeneity. Therefore, we introduce nonparametric treatment effect variable importance measures (TE-VIMs), based on the mean-squared error (MSE) in predicting the individual treatment effect. More precisely, TE-VIMs represent the increase in MSE when variables are removed from the CATE conditioning set. We derive efficient TE-VIM estimators which can be used with any CATE estimation strategy and are amenable to ML estimation. We propose several strategies to calculate these VIMs (eg, leave-one out, or keep-one in), using popular meta-learners for the CATE. We study the finite sample performance through a simulation study and illustrate their application using clinical trial data.

Indexed as

Machine LearningPrecision MedicineBiometryClinical Trials as TopicComputer SimulationData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansModels, StatisticalStatistics, NonparametricTreatment Effect HeterogeneityTreatment Outcomecausal inferenceconditional effectsdata-adaptive estimationeffect modification

Identifiers

PMID41437933
PMCPMC7618827

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.