Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41436315›Full record

ArticleEuropean urology2025

Development and Validation of a Multimodal Artificial Intelligence-derived Digital Pathology-based Biomarker Predicting Metastasis Among Patients with Biochemical Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy in NRG/RTOG Trials.

Todd M Morgan, Yi Ren, Siyi Tang, Wouter Zwerink, Emmalyn Chen, Akinori Mitani, Huei-Chung Huang, Jeffry P Simko, Sandy DeVries, Alan Pollack and 17 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European urology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Todd M MorganUniversity of Michigan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. Electronic address: tomorgan@med.umich.edu.
Yi RenArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Siyi TangArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Wouter ZwerinkArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Emmalyn ChenArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Akinori MitaniArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Huei-Chung HuangArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Jeffry P SimkoNRG Oncology Biospecimen Bank, San Francisco, CA, USA; UCSF Medical Center-Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Sandy DeVriesNRG Oncology Biospecimen Bank, San Francisco, CA, USA; UCSF Medical Center-Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Alan PollackUniversity of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
Derek WilkeCapital Health - Nova Scotia Cancer Centre, Halifax, NS, Canada.
André-Guy MartinCHU de Québec- Université Laval, Quebec, QC, Canada.
Alexander G BaloghTom Baker Cancer Centre, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Jeff M MichalskiWashington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, USA.
Michael J GreenbergThomas Jefferson University Hospital, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Jason A EfstathiouMassachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Jean-Paul BaharyCentre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal-Notre Dame, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Ashley E RossNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Andre EstevaArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Trevor J RoyceArtera Inc., Los Altos, CA, USA.
Paul L NguyenDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA.
Karen E HoffmanMD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Howard M SandlerCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Phuoc T TranUniversity of Maryland Medical System, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Stephanie L PughNRG Oncology Statistics and Data Management Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA; American College of Radiology, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Felix Y FengUCSF Medical Center-Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Daniel E SprattUniversity Hospitals at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, USA. Electronic address: daniel.spratt@uhhospitals.org.

Funding

NRG Oncology Network Group Operations Center - GY9 BIQSFP Reports/BudgetsU10CA180868 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI NORMAN WOLMARK · 2014 to 2026
$206.8M
Statistics CoreU10CA180822 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Elaina Harper · 2014 to 2026
$146.4M
NRG Oncology NCORP Research Base-BIQSFPUG1CA189867 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI Deborah Watkins Bruner, Lisa A. Kachnic · 2014 to 2026
$140.5M
NRG Oncology Biospecimen BankU24CA196067 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI Tanner J. Freeman, Nilsa Del Carmen Ramirez Milan · 2015 to 2026
$42.6M
Tumor Biology Research ProgramP30CA240139 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI George S. Grills · 2019 to 2026
$24.1M
Resource Sharing CoreU54CA273956 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Phuoc T. Tran · 2022 to 2026
$8.9M
UM LAPs -UG1 GrantUG1CA233160 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ANNE F SCHOTT · 2019 to 2026
$5.4M
Determining the clinical impact of gene expression testing in localized prostate cancerR01CA240991 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MORGAN, TODD M., SPRATT, DANIEL EIDELBERG · 2019 to 2024
$3.1M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA240139NCI NIH HHS R01 CA240991NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180822NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180868NCI NIH HHS U24 CA196067NCI NIH HHS U54 CA273956NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA189867NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233160
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveBiochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP) is a heterogeneous disease state in prostate cancer with multiple treatment options. Improved risk stratification could enable more personalized decision-making. We developed and validated a digital pathology-based multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI) model to predict outcomes in post-RP BCR patients undergoing salvage therapy.

methodsAn MMAI model was trained to predict distant metastasis (DM) using prostate histopathology image features and clinical variables (pathologic grade group, pathologic T stage, prostate-specific antigen level before salvage radiotherapy [SRT], age, and surgical margin). The locked model was validated in 533 patients from NRG/RTOG 9601 and 0534 treated with SRT ± hormone therapy (HT), using Cox regression and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS: With a median follow-up of 9.3 yrs, MMAI score was significantly associated with DM (subdistribution hazard ratio = 2.17 per standard deviation [95% confidence interval 1.65-2.85]; p < 0.001) and remained independently prognostic after adjusting for clinical variables and treatment. The 10-yr time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for MMAI was 0.74 compared with 0.68 for a clinical nomogram. Binary risk categorization demonstrated higher 10-yr DM incidence in the MMAI high-risk (25%) than in the low-risk (8.8%) group. The absolute reduction in 10-yr DM incidence with HT plus SRT versus SRT alone was 21% in the high-risk group versus 2.5% in the low-risk group. Limitations include the use of archived trial cohorts. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: The post-RP MMAI model provides individualized risk estimates after SRT ± HT and may support shared decision-making about salvage treatment. External and prospective validation are ongoing.

Indexed as

Artificial intelligenceDigital pathologyPrognostic modelProstate cancerRadical prostatectomySalvage therapy

Identifiers

PMID41436315
PMCPMC12774449

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.