Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41431164›Full record

ArticleRespirology (Carlton, Vic.)2026

Prognostic Value of a Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing-Derived Summed Score in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Connective Tissue Disease-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Yu-Lin Tsai, Kai-Ming Chang, Chung-Shih Chin, Chiann-Yi Hsu, Yi-Hsuan Yu, Yuan-Yang Cheng, Pin-Kuei Fu

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Respirology (Carlton, Vic.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06476470 (A Prospective Multi-center Registry for Fibrotic Lung Disease, Focusing on Clinical Phenotype, Physical Parameters, Image Analysis, and Precision Medicine in Taiwan), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06476470 recruitingnot on this map

A Prospective Multi-center Registry for Fibrotic Lung Disease, Focusing on Clinical Phenotype, Physical Parameters, Image Analysis, and Precision Medicine in Taiwan

TypeobservationalSponsorTaichung Veterans General HospitalRan2024 to 2035Enrolled10,000ConditionsInterstitial Lung Disease, Comorbidities and Coexisting Conditions, Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension, Treatment Adherence
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yu-Lin TsaiIntegrated Care Centre of Interstitial Lung Disease, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.
Kai-Ming ChangDepartment of Chest Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.
Chung-Shih ChinDepartment of Chest Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.
Chiann-Yi HsuBiostatistics Task Force, Department of Medical Research, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.
Yi-Hsuan YuIntegrated Care Centre of Interstitial Lung Disease, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.
Yuan-Yang ChengIntegrated Care Centre of Interstitial Lung Disease, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.
Pin-Kuei FuIntegrated Care Centre of Interstitial Lung Disease, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung City, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-9416-4094

Funding

National Science and Technology Council of Taiwan NSTC 112-2314-B-075A-003-MY3Taichung Veterans General Hospital TCVGH-1123104DTaichung Veterans General Hospital TCVGH-1128303DTaichung Veterans General Hospital TCVGH-1136601ATaichung Veterans General Hospital TCVGH-1137308CTaichung Veterans General Hospital TCVGH-1137308D
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveOur previous study demonstrated that a summed score derived from six cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) parameters could predict 1-year mortality in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD). However, its long-term prognostic value across different ILD aetiologies remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the predictive performance of CPET-derived parameters for long-term outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and connective tissue disease-associated ILD (CTD-ILD).

methodsIn this prospective cohort study, 210 patients newly diagnosed with ILD between 2018 and 2022 at a tertiary medical centre underwent CPET. A CPET-derived summed score was evaluated for its association with a composite outcome of all-cause mortality or lung transplantation. Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were used to examine predictive ability and identify the optimal cutoff value. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank tests compared event-free survival in IPF and CTD-ILD patients.

resultsA summed score incorporating five CPET-derived variables was an independent predictor of the composite outcome. Patients with scores of 2-5 had markedly lower event-free survival (44.2%) than those with scores of 0-1 (88.3%). The score demonstrated consistent predictive value in both IPF and CTD-ILD.

conclusionThe CPET-derived summed score is a useful prognostic tool for predicting all-cause mortality or the need for lung transplantation in newly diagnosed ILD patients. It also retains predictive accuracy for long-term outcomes in both IPF and CTD-ILD. External validation in other ILD subtypes is warranted.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT06476470.

Indexed as

Connective Tissue DiseasesExercise TestIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisLung Diseases, InterstitialAgedFemaleHumansLung TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisProspective Studiescardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET)interstitial lung disease (ILD)mortality predictionsummed scoresurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID41431164
PMCPMC13125385

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.