Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41428882›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Fishing fleets as ecosystem sentinels.

Heather Welch, Brett M Holycross, Allison A Cluett, Michael G Jacox, Caren E Braby, Matthew W Callahan, Joshua A Cullen, Nima Farchadi, Rachel Seary, Jordan T Watson and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Fishing fleets as ecosystem sentinels.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Heather WelchInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.ORCID 0000-0002-5464-1140
Brett M HolycrossPacific States Marine Fisheries Commission, Portland, OR 97219.
Allison A CluettInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.
Michael G JacoxInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.
Caren E BrabyPacific States Marine Fisheries Commission, Portland, OR 97219.ORCID 0009-0006-1346-9221
Matthew W CallahanPacific States Marine Fisheries Commission, Portland, OR 97219.
Joshua A CullenInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.ORCID 0000-0002-6935-9340
Nima FarchadiInstitute for Ecological Monitoring and Management, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182.ORCID 0000-0003-4718-6984
Rachel SearyInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.
Jordan T WatsonPacific Islands Ocean Observing System, Honolulu, HI 96822.
Steven J BogradInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.
Elliott L HazenInstitute of Marine Science, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 94064.

Funding

California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment N/ANASA Ecological Conservation program 80NSSC23K1538Research England's Expanding Excellence in England fund N/A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Marine apex predators are promising sentinels for detecting the ecological impacts of climate variability and change. Fishermen are increasingly recognized as marine apex predators, and there are extensive satellite-based geolocation data on fishing vessel activities. Despite this potential, the utility of fishermen as ecosystem sentinels remains unexamined. Using one million vessel positions from 600 U.S. vessels, we assess the effectiveness of fishermen as sentinels for the ecological impacts of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves on tuna distribution and availability. Fishermen were skillful predictors of extreme northward shifts for albacore and bluefin tunas, and extreme inshore shifts for albacore. Fishermen signaled low albacore availability over a year in advance of a formal fisheries disaster declaration request. Notably, fishermen also indicated true negatives during marine heatwaves: periods of anomalous warming but stable tuna distribution and availability. This information could aid management of transboundary shifts during marine heatwaves of albacore from U.S. to Canadian waters and bluefin from Mexican to U.S. waters. Advanced warning of fisheries disasters could expedite the delivery of relief funds for struggling communities. The number of Earth-orbiting satellites is exponentially rising, generating a wealth of geospatial information on fishing vessels. This rich and growing resource can signal otherwise unobserved ecological impacts, aiding rapid management responses to climate extremes.

Indexed as

EcosystemFisheriesTunaAnimalsClimate ChangeUnited Statesclimate changeecosystem sentinelfisherieshighly migratory speciesmarine heatwave

Identifiers

PMID41428882
PMCPMC12772164

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.