Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41424432›Full record

ArticleUlusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES2025

A new score for predicting incidental appendiceal neoplasms in patients aged ≥40 years with acute appendicitis: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

Hikmet Pehlevan Özel, Sadettin Er, İbrahim Doğan, Cemil Yüksel, Yusuf Sevim, Sabri Özden, Birkan Birben, Bilge Kaan Er, Şule Bal, Hasan Yalçın and 8 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Ulusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Hikmet Pehlevan ÖzelDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Sadettin ErDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
İbrahim DoğanDepartment of General Surgery,Van Education and Research Hospital, Van-Türkiye.
Cemil YükselDepartment of General Surgery, Mersin City Hospital, Mersin-Türkiye.
Yusuf SevimDepartment of General Surgery, Kayseri City Hospital, Kayseri-Türkiye.
Sabri ÖzdenDepartment of General Surgery, Konya City Hospital, Konya-Türkiye.
Birkan BirbenDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Etlik City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Bilge Kaan ErDepartment of General Surgery, Başkent University, Faculty of Medicine, Ankara-Türkiye.
Şule BalDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Hasan YalçınDepartment of General Surgery, Kayseri City Hospital, Kayseri-Türkiye.
Üsame YıldızDepartment of General Surgery, Konya City Hospital, Konya-Türkiye.
Ali DemirDepartment of General Surgery, Konya City Hospital, Konya-Türkiye.
Mehmet Ali EryılmazDepartment of General Surgery, Konya City Hospital, Konya-Türkiye.
Gürkan DeğirmencioğluDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Etlik City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Tezcan AkınDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Özgür AkgülDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Erdinç ÇetinkayaDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.
Mesut TezDepartment of General Surgery, Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Ankara-Türkiye.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis multicenter retrospective cohort study aimed to develop a novel five-parameter scoring model to predict incidental appendiceal neoplasia in patients aged ≥40 years diagnosed with acute appendicitis. Previous literature has reported a significant increase in the risk of neoplasia, particularly after age 40, and this cut-off value was used as the basis for our study design.

methodsA multicenter retrospective cohort analysis was conducted across six tertiary hospitals between January 2019 and December 2024. Adult patients aged ≥40 years who underwent appendectomy with preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) and had available laboratory data were included. Predictive variables were identified using multivariate logistic regression. The scoring system incorporated age, female sex, appendix diameter, absence of CT wall enhancement, and low neutrophil count. Diagnostic performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

resultsOf 2,143 patients analyzed, 122 (5.7%) had incidental neoplasia. The scoring system yielded an area under the ROC curve of 0.641 (95% confidence interval: 0.594-0.690). Using a cutoff score ≥3, sensitivity was 56.6%, specificity 65.4%, positive predictive value 9%, and negative predictive value 96.1%. Patients with a maximum score of 5 had a 33.3% incidence of neoplasia.

conclusionThis five-parameter scoring system demonstrates a high negative predictive value and may help identify low-risk patients in whom standard appendectomy can be safely performed. This model, which allows low-risk patients to be safely excluded thanks to its high negative predictive value, provides an innovative contribution to clinical decision-support systems.

Indexed as

Appendiceal NeoplasmsAppendicitisAdultAgedAppendectomyFemaleHumansIncidental FindingsMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveTomography, X-Ray Computed

Identifiers

PMID41424432
PMCPMC12782713

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