Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41420700›Full record

ArticleHepatology international2026

Epidemiological trends and age-period-cohort analysis of alcoholic liver cancer from 1990 to 2021.

Jiajia Chen, Runhua Li, Xiaojie Li, Kai Shi, Rui Zeng, Kunpeng Hu, Qingliang Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology international, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jiajia ChenDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Chaozhou Central Hospital, Chaozhou, 521000, China.
Runhua LiDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, 310022, China.
Xiaojie LiDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510630, China.
Kai ShiDepartment of Hepatobiliary-Pancreatic-Splenic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Tianhe Road 600, Guangzhou, 510630, China.
Rui ZengDepartment of Hepatobiliary-Pancreatic-Splenic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Tianhe Road 600, Guangzhou, 510630, China.
Kunpeng HuDepartment of Thyroid and Breast Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Tianhe Road 600, Guangzhou, 510630, China. hukpeng@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Qingliang WangDepartment of Hepatobiliary-Pancreatic-Splenic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Tianhe Road 600, Guangzhou, 510630, China. wangql5@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

Clinical Research Program of The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University YHJH202206Joint Fund of The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University and Chaozhou Central Hospital LH202209Joint Fund of The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University and Chaozhou Central Hospital LH202210
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe disease burden of alcoholic liver cancer (ALC) has been changing due to socioeconomic development. An up-to-date evaluation of this change can increase public awareness and facilitate health policy development.

methodsThe data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD) 2021. Epidemiological changes of morbidity and mortality in different regions, as well as the differences in gender and age were analyzed. Temporal trends were determined using Joinpoint regression analysis and age-period-cohort analysis was employed to evaluate the effects of age, period, and cohort.

resultsGlobally, there were 99,543.67 new cases (95% UI 80957.40-120401.87) and 92,227.78 deaths (95% UI 75053.11-112,160.27) in 2021, increased by 158.92% and 141.61%, respectively, compared to 1990. Decomposition analysis revealed that population growth was the primary driver of the increased morbidity (41.13%) and mortality (54.87%). The global estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of morbidity and mortality exhibited an ascending trend, while differences existed across different regions. The morbidity and mortality rates were higher in males than in females across all age groups. Joinpoint regression analysis showed an increased morbidity and mortality rate. The age effect indicated that the highest risk was observed at 75-79 years for morbidity and 80-84 years for mortality. The period effect showed an increasing risk, while improving cohort risks for mortality were identified.

conclusionAlcoholic liver cancer has posed an increasing health burden since 1990, particularly affecting male and the elderly population. Effective prevention policies on specific age groups should be formulated to improve this situation.

Indexed as

Liver NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansLiver Diseases, AlcoholicMaleMiddle AgedAge–period–cohort analysisAge-standardized rateAlcoholDecomposition analysisEpidemiological changesGlobal burden of diseaseIncidenceJoinpoint regressionLiver cancerMortality

Identifiers

PMID41420700
PMCPMC13121189

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.