Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41420095›Full record

ArticleNature food2025

A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5 °C global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion.

Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Felicitas Beier, Florian Humpenöder, Debbora Leip, Michael S Crawford, David Meng-Chuen Chen, Patrick von Jeetze, Marco Springmann, Bjoern Soergel, Zebedee Nicholls and 22 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors.

Benjamin Leon BodirskyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany. bodirsky@pik-potsdam.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8242-6712
Felicitas BeierPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8725-7663
Florian HumpenöderPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2927-9407
Debbora LeipPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Michael S CrawfordPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1282-400X
David Meng-Chuen ChenPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5939-9093
Patrick von JeetzePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1197-4412
Marco SpringmannLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6028-5712
Bjoern SoergelPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2630-7081
Zebedee NichollsInternational Institute for Applied System Analysis, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723
Jessica StreflerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5279-4629
Jared LewisInternational Institute for Applied System Analysis, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924
Jens HeinkePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5256-0024
Christoph MüllerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9491-3550
Kristine KarstensPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5860-9789
Isabelle WeindlPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7651-6930
Miodrag StevanovićPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1799-186X
Patrick ReinPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9454-8381
Pascal SauerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6856-8239
Abhijeet MishraPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8287-9922
Edna Johanna Molina BaccaPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6530-1849
Alexandre C KöberlePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0328-4750
Xiaoxi WangPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2678-9217
Vartika SinghPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4896-7590
Claudia HuneckePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6129-3933
Quitterie CollignonPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Pepijn SchreinemachersWorld Vegetable Center, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1596-3179
Simon DietzLondon School of Economics, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5002-018X
Ravi KanburCornell University, New York, NY, USA.
Jan Philipp DietrichPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4309-6431
Hermann Lotze-CampenPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-5508
Alexander PoppPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9500-1986

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 101135512
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The improvement of the global food system requires a thorough understanding of how specific measures may contribute to the system's transformation. Here we apply a global food and land system modelling framework to quantify the impact of 23 food system measures on 15 outcome indicators related to public health, the environment, social inclusion and the economy, up to 2050. While all individual measures come with trade-offs, their combination can reduce trade-offs and enhance co-benefits. We estimate that combining all food system measures may reduce yearly mortality by 182 million life years and almost halves nitrogen surplus while offsetting negative effects of environmental protection measures on absolute poverty. Through joint efforts, including measures outside the food system, the 1.5 °C climate target can be achieved.

Indexed as

EnvironmentFood SupplyGlobal WarmingHumansPovertyPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID41420095
PMCPMC12716996

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.