Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41417895›Full record

ReviewScience advances2025

Gazing into the flames: A guide to assessing the impacts of climate change on landscape fire.

Hamish Clarke, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Lynn Johnston, Jennifer Marlon, Trent Penman, Andrew J Pitman, Guido R van der Werf, Mike D Flannigan

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hamish ClarkeFLARE Wildfire Research, School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8747-3729
Francesca Di GiuseppeEuropean Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), Reading, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9829-0429
Lynn JohnstonNatural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7499-3568
Jennifer MarlonSchool of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8299-9609
Trent PenmanFLARE Wildfire Research, School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5203-9818
Andrew J PitmanARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes and Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-0604-3274
Guido R van der WerfEnvironmental Sciences Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-9042-8630
Mike D FlanniganNatural Resource Science, Thompson Rivers University, Kamloops, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9970-5363

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Widespread impacts of landscape fire on ecosystems, societies, and the climate system itself have heightened the need to understand the potential future trajectory of fire under continued climate change. However, the complexity of fire makes climate change impact assessment challenging. The climate system influences fire in many ways, including through vegetation, fuel dryness, fire weather, and ignition. Furthermore, fire's impacts are highly diverse, spanning threats to human and ecological values and beneficial ecosystem and cultural services. Here, we discuss the art and science of projecting climate change impacts on landscape fire. This not only includes how fire, its drivers, and its impacts are modeled, but critically it also includes how projections of the climate system are developed. By raising and discussing these issues, we aim to foster the development of more robust and useful fire projections, help interpret existing assessments, and support society in charting a course toward a sustainable fire future.

Identifiers

PMID41417895
PMCPMC12716398

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.