Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41413455›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

Statistical modeling the seroprevalence of hepatitis B among the pregnant women attending specialist hospital, Idah, kogi state, Nigeria.

Gabriel Aye, Alabi Olatayo Olusegun

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Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Gabriel AyeDepartment of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Ondo, Nigeria. gabrielaaye2017@gmail.com.
Alabi Olatayo OlusegunDepartment of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Ondo, Nigeria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatitis B Virus (HBV) remains a significant global public health challenge, particularly among pregnant women due to the risk of vertical transmission. Despite increasing reports of HBV in Nigeria, data specific to Idah, Kogi State, are limited. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and identify predictors of HBV infection among pregnant women in this setting.

methodsA crosssectional survey was conducted among 245 pregnant women attending their first antenatal clinic visit at Specialist Hospital, Idah, Kogi State, Nigeria (March-June 2024). HBV infection was defined as HBsAg positivity confirmed by rapid test and ELISA neutralization. Independent variables included age, marital status, educational level, exposure to sharp objects, alcohol use, tribal marks, and multiple sexual partners. Adjusted logistic regression models were fitted using penalized likelihood methods in R (v4.4.2). Model fit was assessed with likelihood ratio and Wald tests, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodnessoffit, calibration slope/intercept, and AUC. Predictive performance was evaluated using confusion matrix metrics with Wilson score confidence intervals. Missing data were addressed using single imputation under a Missing at Random (MAR) assumption.

resultsHBV prevalence was 5.7% (95% CI: 3.2-9.4%). Significant predictors included marital status (OR = 23.66, 95% CI: 1.04-654.93), exposure to sharp objects (OR = 23.88, 95% CI: 1.52-3519.22), tribal marks (OR = 9.29, 95% CI: 1.84-99.56), and multiple sexual partners (OR = 66.79, 95% CI: 4.80-1665.01). The model demonstrated excellent discrimination (AUC = 0.9635) and good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ

conclusionHBV infection among pregnant women in Idah was significantly associated with marital status, cultural practices (tribal marks), exposure to sharp objects, and multiple sexual partners. The predictive model demonstrated strong discrimination and calibration, supporting its potential utility for HBV risk stratification in antenatal care. However, modest specificity and NPV highlight the need for cautious interpretation and external validation in larger, multisite cohorts.

Indexed as

Hepatitis BModels, StatisticalPregnancy Complications, InfectiousAdolescentAdultCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHepatitis B Surface AntigensHepatitis B virusHumansNigeriaPregnancyPrevalenceRisk FactorsSeroepidemiologic StudiesYoung AdultHepatitis B Surface AntigensHepatitis B virusLogistic regressionPredictive modelingPrevalenceRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID41413455
PMCPMC12822231

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.