Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41409342›Full record

ArticleClinical Medicine Insights. Cardiology2025

Agreement Between Cardiovascular Risk Assessment Models (SCORE2, Framingham, ASCVD-2013, and SCORE2-OP) in Adults Aged 70 Years or Older: A Population-Based Study.

Cristian Orlando Porras Bueno, Hector Henry Lindarte Vargas, Maria Paula Ravagli Baquero, Fabian Gil, Oscar Mauricio Muñoz Velandia, Ángel Alberto García Peña

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical Medicine Insights. Cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Cristian Orlando Porras BuenoDepartamento de Medicina Interna, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9618-0744
Hector Henry Lindarte VargasDepartamento de Medicina Interna, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.
Maria Paula Ravagli BaqueroDepartamento de Medicina Interna, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.
Fabian GilDepartamento de Epidemiología y Bioestadística. Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.
Oscar Mauricio Muñoz VelandiaDepartamento de Medicina Interna, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5401-0018
Ángel Alberto García PeñaDepartamento de Medicina Interna, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Despite several prediction models to estimate cardiovascular risk (CVR) being available, most have been developed and validated in populations under 70 years of age. To improve this estimation in older adults aged 70 years or older, the SCORE2-OP model was developed; however, its application outside Europe may under- or overestimate true CVR. Objective: To assess the concordance between the CVR measured by 4 widely used CVR tools (Framingham, ASCVD-2013, SCORE2) and the SCORE2-OP in older adults aged ⩾ 70 years. Methods: Secondary analysis of adults aged ⩾ 70 years from the SABE Colombia study, which was conducted between April and September 2015. The concordance between the 4 different CVR prediction models and SCORE2-OP was assessed via Cohen's quadratically weighted kappa coefficient and Lin's concordance correlation coefficient. Results: Among the 23 694 participants in the SABE Colombia study, 23 108 were excluded due to insufficient data to estimate the CVR for any of the tools evaluated. 586 individuals met the inclusion criteria and were analyzed. The concordance between the ASCVD-2013 (weighted kappa 0.24; 95% CI 0.22-0.26) and Framingham algorithms (0.22; 95% CI 0.20-0.24) calibrated to the Colombian population and SCORE2-OP were both classified as fair. In contrast, agreement between SCORE2 calibrated for Colombia and SCORE2-OP reached a moderate level (0.43; 95% CI 0.40-0.46). Higher values were observed compared with the SCORE2-OP model developed for intermediate-risk regions. Conclusions: Our results suggest that, among adults aged ⩾ 70 years, there is variable agreement between widely used CVR prediction models and SCORE2-OP, with the latter overestimating CVR compared to nationally validated CVR scores. This highlights the need for region-specific validation to ensure accurate estimation of CVR in this population.

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cross-sectional studiesgeriatricsheart disease risk factorsprimary health carerisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID41409342
PMCPMC12705944

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