Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41408571›Full record

ArticleConflict and health2025

Injury morbidity and mortality during conflict: evidence from the 2024 war on lebanon.

Samar Al-Hajj, Hilda Harb, Shaymaa Barakat, Nour Abou Khalil, Nesrine Ahmad, Hani Mowafi, Rakan Nassereldine

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Conflict and health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Samar Al-HajjEpidemiology and Population Health Department, Faculty of Health Sciences, American University of Beirut, Van Dyck HallRiad El-Solh, P.O. Box 11-0236, Beirut, 1107 2020, Lebanon. sh137@aub.edu.lb.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4736-021X
Hilda HarbMinistry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon.
Shaymaa BarakatEpidemiology and Population Health Department, Faculty of Health Sciences, American University of Beirut, Van Dyck HallRiad El-Solh, P.O. Box 11-0236, Beirut, 1107 2020, Lebanon.
Nour Abou KhalilEpidemiology and Population Health Department, Faculty of Health Sciences, American University of Beirut, Van Dyck HallRiad El-Solh, P.O. Box 11-0236, Beirut, 1107 2020, Lebanon.
Nesrine AhmadFaculty of Health Sciences, MENA Program for Advanced Injury Research, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon.
Hani MowafiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Rakan NassereldineMinistry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWars and armed conflicts have long-lasting and devastating impacts on populations and health systems in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The 2024 Israeli military operations in Lebanon occurred amid an already fragile socioeconomic and healthcare landscape. This study provides the first nationally representative analysis of war-related injuries and deaths in Lebanon, offering critical insight into the health consequences of modern conflict.

methodsA multicenter retrospective observational study was conducted using data from 149 hospitals across Lebanon from October 2023 to March 2025. Mortality data were obtained from the National Hospital Mortality System (NHMS), while morbidity data were sourced from the Ministry of Public Health (MoPH)-subsidized hospitals. Injury-related cases were identified using relevant ICD-10 codes. Descriptive and bivariate analyses were performed to assess associations between demographic, geographic, clinical, and injury-related variables, and outcomes.

resultsA total of 21,853 individuals were included, with 80.45% sustaining injuries and 19.55% recorded as fatalities. The most affected age group was 40-44 years (38.65%), and males accounted for 81.09% of cases. Lebanese nationals comprised 90.08% of the affected. The South and Nabatiyeh governorates reported the highest injury and fatality rates. The leading mechanisms of injury were blast injuries (29.79%) and gunshots (14.04%). Of those injured, 51.9% were discharged from the emergency department, 40.86% were admitted, and 7.24% required ICU care. Among fatalities, 81.46% were dead on arrival. Bivariate analysis showed significant associations between incident status (dead/injured) and age, sex, nationality, hospital type, geographic region, and mechanism of injury (all p < 0.001).

conclusionThe study highlights the immense human toll of the 2024 conflict in Lebanon on a population already crippled with economic crises and a fragile healthcare system. While vulnerable populations including women and children were heavily impacted, many blast victims were reported dead before hospital arrival due to limited access to timely care and the targeting of healthcare infrastructure. The findings underscore the violations of international humanitarian law and highlight the urgent need to protect civilians and healthcare infrastructure, as well as to strengthen emergency preparedness and post-conflict recovery.

Indexed as

Emergency preparednessHealth systems in conflictLebanonWar-related injuries

Identifiers

PMID41408571
PMCPMC12709730

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.