Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41408097›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Pan immune inflammation value improves MELD 3.0 for mortality prediction in critically ill cirrhotic patients.

Ling Zhu, Peibo Li, Chengdong You

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ling ZhuDepartment of Cardiovascular Diseases, People's Hospital of Xiushan County, Xiushan, 409900, Chongqing, China.
Peibo LiDepartment of Tuberculosis Diseases, Chongqing Public Health Medical Center, Chongqing, 400036, Chongqing, China.
Chengdong YouDepartment of Infectious Diseases, People's Hospital of Xiushan County, Xiushan, 409900, Chongqing, China. uniqueycd@hotmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Liver cirrhosis poses a significant global health burden, with over 100 million cases worldwide and 2 million annual deaths. Despite advances in prognostic tools like MELD 3.0, their performance remains suboptimal. The pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV), a novel biomarker of systemic inflammation, has shown prognostic utility in chronic diseases but remains underexplored in cirrhosis. This study evaluates PIV's predictive value for mortality in critically ill cirrhotic patients and its synergy with MELD 3.0. Using data from the MIMIC-IV database, we analyzed 2,399 critically ill cirrhotic patients. PIV was calculated as neutrophils × platelets × monocytes/lymphocytes. Primary and secondary endpoints were 28-day and 365-day all-cause mortality, respectively. Multivariable Cox models, restricted cubic splines, and time-dependent ROC analyses, calibration curves, and clinical decision curve analyses were employed to assess associations and predictive performance. Patients in the highest PIV quartile (Q4) exhibited older age, more comorbidities, and worse metabolic profiles compared to Q1. PIV demonstrated a J-shaped association with mortality: Q4 had 0.51-fold higher 28-day mortality than Q1 (adjusted HR = 1.51, P < 0.001). The PIV-MELD 3.0 composite model outperformed individual markers, with AUCs of 69.5 (95% CI:0.68-0.71) (28-day) and 69.4 (95% CI:0.69-0.70) (365-day). Non-linear analysis revealed a J-shaped threshold effect with cut-off values of 3.33 (28-day) and 3.13 (365-day). Calibration curves and sensitivity analysis confirmed the superiority of the PIV combined with the MELD 3.0 model. Finally, sensitivity, subgroup, and external validation analyses further demonstrated the robustness of the association between PIV and mortality risk. PIV independently predicts short- and long-term mortality in cirrhotic patients, exhibiting a dose-response relationship. Integration with MELD 3.0 enhances risk stratification, offering a cost-effective tool for clinical decision-making. Prospective studies are warranted to validate these findings.

Indexed as

InflammationLiver CirrhosisAgedBiomarkersCritical IllnessFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeutrophilsPrognosisROC CurveSeverity of Illness IndexBiomarkersLiver cirrhosisMELD 3.0MortalityPan-immune-inflammation valuePrognostic biomarker

Identifiers

PMID41408097
PMCPMC12711914

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.