Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41405151›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2025

Human Metapneumovirus Circulation and Seasonality on a Global Scale, 2016-2025: Changes in Patterns and Epidemic Timing in the Pre- Versus Post-COVID-19 Era.

Enrica Castellana, Alessandra Picelli, Emma Papini, Guglielmo Bonaccorsi, Jojanneke van Summeren, Marco Del Riccio, Saverio Caini

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Enrica CastellanaDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Alessandra PicelliDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Emma PapiniDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6368-9316
Guglielmo BonaccorsiDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Jojanneke van SummerenNetherlands Institute for Health Services Research (Nivel), Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Marco Del RiccioDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Saverio CainiUniversity of Florence, Florence, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHuman metapneumovirus (hMPV) circulates globally, yet its seasonal dynamics remain incompletely defined. Here, we describe the global timing, amplitude and duration of hMPV outbreaks, comparing the pre- versus post-COVID-19 periods.

methodsSurveillance data for hMPV were retrieved from WHO FluNet from Week 1/2016 until Week 26/2025. We examined the epidemic peak timing, amplitude and duration across seasons and latitudes and compared patterns in 2016-2019 with those in 2021-2025.

resultsOver the study period, approximately 145,000 hMPV detections were reported to the WHO FluNet database from a total of 54 countries worldwide. Among the 15 countries with sufficient data to analyse seasonality, the epidemic timing aligned with geographic latitude, with the peak occurring in June-September in the Southern Hemisphere, February-April in the Northern Hemisphere, while the timing was variable across the intertropical belt. The amplitude of the peak varied across countries, with some countries characterized by single, well-defined peaks and others with more widespread epidemics throughout the season. The median epidemic duration was 19.5 weeks (range 15-36). After the appearance of SARS-CoV-2, marked shifts in timing and amplitude were observed, with delays or dislocations in several countries compared with pre-pandemic seasons.

conclusionsIn this analysis of global surveillance data for hMPV (extended until June 2025), we highlighted latitudinal gradients in hMPV circulation, with disruptions associated with COVID-19. Our findings emphasize the importance of sustained, type-specific global surveillance to inform public health strategies and to characterize the post-COVID-19 global seasonality patterns of hMPV.

Indexed as

COVID-19MetapneumovirusParamyxoviridae InfectionsEpidemicsGlobal HealthHumansSARS-CoV-2SeasonsTime Factorsepidemicshuman metapneumoviruspublic health strategiesseasonalitysurveillancetiming

Identifiers

PMID41405151
PMCPMC12981517

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.