ArticleThe Onderstepoort journal of veterinary research2025
Peste des petits ruminants cases in Nigeria: A 10-year retrospective study from 2015 to 2024.
Article in The Onderstepoort journal of veterinary research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Animal Disease Burden in Nigeria, 2006-2023.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is an endemic, transboundary animal disease (TAD) that affects small ruminants and threatens Nigeria's food and economic security. This study evaluated the PPR cases in Nigeria using data from the World Animal Health Information System (WAHIS). Secondary data of PPR (2015-2024) were analysed as descriptive statistics, and we forecasted PPR cases from 2025 to 2030. Our findings showed temporal variations in PPR reports and case trends, with more cases (reports) between 2020 and 2024. There were significant variations in PPR cases across the six agro-ecological zones of Nigeria (p = 0.025) and across the states (p 0.001). Bauchi (27.6%, n = 19 557/70 827) had over one-quarter of all national disease load, and Katsina had 9.6% (n = 6767/70 827) of the national PPR cases over the study period. Seven states had less than 50 cases, with Lagos and Ogun states having the lowest reports of PPR with 19 and 9 cases, respectively. Trend analysis forecasted an annual increase in the number of PPR cases, with at least 20 048 PPR cases in 2025, 22 838 cases in 2026, 25 737 cases in 2027, 28 745 cases in 2028, 31 860 cases in 2029, with the estimated number of cases rising to approximately 35 085 cases by 2030. The average case fatality rate for the 10 years was 14.1%. Hence, we estimated that at least 23 168 animals will be lost to PPR over the forecasted period.Contribution: The study emphasises the need for region-specific surveillance, targeted vaccination strategies, and predictive modelling tools for effective control and eradication efforts.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.