Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41402819›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2025

A causal forest model integrating quantitative CT scores to predict benefit from flexible bronchoscopy in pediatric Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia: a two-center retrospective study.

Zhoumeng Ying, Jing Li, Zheming Li, Ge Hu, Fei Yang, Zhu Zhu, Wei Han, Zhenchen Zhu, Baofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhou and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Prediction of atelectasis inFrontiers in pediatrics · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Zhoumeng Ying *Department of Radiology, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, People's Republic of China.
Jing Li *National Clinical Research Center for Child Health, National Children's Regional Medical Center, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Sino-Finland Joint AI Laboratory for Child Health of Zhejiang Province, No. 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, People's Republic Of China.
Zheming LiNational Clinical Research Center for Child Health, National Children's Regional Medical Center, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Sino-Finland Joint AI Laboratory for Child Health of Zhejiang Province, No. 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, People's Republic Of China.
Ge HuTheranostics and Translational Research Center, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Fei YangDepartment of CT, Rizhao Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Rizhao, People's Republic of China.
Zhu ZhuNational Clinical Research Center for Child Health, National Children's Regional Medical Center, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Sino-Finland Joint AI Laboratory for Child Health of Zhejiang Province, No. 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, People's Republic Of China.
Wei HanDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Institute of Basic Medicine Sciences, School of Basic Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Zhenchen ZhuDepartment of Radiology, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, People's Republic of China.
Baofeng ZhangDepartment of Pediatrics, Rizhao Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Rizhao, People's Republic of China.
Zhen ZhouDeepwise AI Lab, Beijing Deepwise & League of PhD Technology Co.Ltd, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Mengyu DuanNational Clinical Research Center for Child Health, National Children's Regional Medical Center, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Sino-Finland Joint AI Laboratory for Child Health of Zhejiang Province, No. 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, People's Republic Of China.
Weixiong TanDeepwise AI Lab, Beijing Deepwise & League of PhD Technology Co.Ltd, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Xinxin LiNational Clinical Research Center for Child Health, National Children's Regional Medical Center, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Sino-Finland Joint AI Laboratory for Child Health of Zhejiang Province, No. 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, People's Republic Of China.
Zhengyu JinDepartment of Radiology, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, People's Republic of China.
Lan SongDepartment of Radiology, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, People's Republic of China. songl@pumch.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6598-6964
Gang YuNational Clinical Research Center for Child Health, National Children's Regional Medical Center, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Sino-Finland Joint AI Laboratory for Child Health of Zhejiang Province, No. 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, People's Republic Of China. yugbme@zju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9935-9969

Funding

Medical Health Science and Technology Project of Zhejiang Provincial Health Commission 2023KY832National Natural Science Foundation of China NSFC No. 82171934Peking Union Medical College Hospital Talent Cultivation Program Category C UBJ10148
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFlexible bronchoscopy (FB) is recommended for pediatric Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) with persistent consolidation or atelectasis, though substantial heterogeneity in treatment effects exists. This study aimed to develop a causal forest-based predictive model to identify pediatric MPP patients most likely to benefit from FB.

methodsThis retrospective two-center study enrolled pediatric MPP patients in derivation (n = 753) and validation (n = 139) cohorts. Clinical, laboratory, and AI-quantified computed tomography (CT) data were analyzed. Individual treatment effects (ITEs) were estimated using causal forest algorithms. FB-beneficial subgroups were defined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of ITEs, with the varying treatment effect across the subgroups validated via multivariable linear regression. Subgroup characteristics, feature importance, and heatmap-based feature interactions were also analyzed.

resultsFB treatment significantly reduced total fever duration in identified FB-beneficial subgroups in both derivation (β = - 1.16, p < 0.001) and validation (β = - 0.68, p = 0.04) cohorts. These beneficial subgroups exhibited significantly higher consolidation/atelectasis volume (CAV), pneumonia attenuation (PA), and consolidation-to-pneumonia ratio (CAR) compared to non-beneficial groups (all p < 0.001). Heatmap analyses confirmed that increased CAV combined with elevated PA or lymphocyte counts could improve FB efficacy.

conclusionsThis study developed and validated an individualized prediction model to identify pediatric MPP patients most likely to benefit from FB treatment. Our model may serve as a tool to support clinicians in optimizing FB utilization, potentially reducing unnecessary interventions and associated risks. An accessible online tool of this model facilitates practical clinical implementation.

Indexed as

BronchoscopyMycoplasma pneumoniaePneumonia, MycoplasmaTomography, X-Ray ComputedAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMalePredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeBronchoscopyMycoplasma pneumoniaePediatricsPneumoniaSupervised machine learningTreatment effect heterogeneity

Identifiers

PMID41402819
PMCPMC12821180

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.