Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41402557›Full record

SynthesisBritish journal of cancer2026

Circulating tumour DNA for a minimal residual disease assessment and recurrence risk in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Isabella R Buonopane, Erick F Saldanha, Júnior Samuel Alonso de Menezes, Lucas Diniz da Conceição, Camila Mariana de Paiva Reis, Luís Felipe Leite, Thiago Francischetto, Renata D'Alpino Peixoto, Tiago Biachi de Castria

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-AnalysisReview
In one paragraph

Synthesis in British journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Isabella R BuonopaneUniversidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil. isabellaromagnoli0@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-1961-5837
Erick F SaldanhaDivision of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Department of Medicine, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7972-4244
Júnior Samuel Alonso de MenezesUniversidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Lucas Diniz da ConceiçãoUniversidade Federal Fluminense, Niterói, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Camila Mariana de Paiva ReisUniversidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Luís Felipe LeiteUniversidade Federal Fluminense, Niterói, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-8347-1212
Thiago FrancischettoUniversidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Renata D'Alpino PeixotoDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer Agency, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Tiago Biachi de CastriaMoffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6832-2485

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) relapse remains high after curative-intent treatment due to occult minimal residual disease. Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a noninvasive biomarker. Systematic search of MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library up to November 2024 identified studies evaluating plasma ctDNA in non-metastatic HCC patients undergoing curative-intent treatment. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were pooled using random-effects models; sensitivity and specificity for predicting recurrence were summarised. Ten retrospective studies (n = 793) met inclusion criteria. Postoperative ctDNA positivity was associated with shorter RFS (HR 4.48; 95% CI 2.56-7.82; I² = 78%; p < 0.001) and worse OS (HR 2.99; 95% CI 1.94-4.61; I² = 47%; p < 0.001). Baseline ctDNA detection predicted reduced RFS (HR 3.54; 95% CI 1.97-6.38; I² = 35%; p < 0.001). Sensitivity ranged 33-82% and specificity 41-100%, reflecting methodological heterogeneity. Leave-one-out analyses confirmed robustness. Plasma ctDNA is a potent prognostic marker of recurrence and survival in non-metastatic HCC. Prospective trials incorporating ctDNA could optimise postoperative surveillance and guide adjuvant therapy selection.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, HepatocellularCirculating Tumor DNALiver NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm, ResidualHumansPrognosisBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNA

Identifiers

PMID41402557
PMCPMC12905406

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.