Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41402285›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Accelerated land surface greening caused by earlier permafrost thawing.

Hao Hua, Jian Wang, Constantin M Zohner, Josep Peñuelas, Youhua Ran, Chaoyang Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Hao Hua *The Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1679-412X
Jian Wang *The Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Constantin M ZohnerDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute of Integrative Biology, ETH, Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8302-4854
Josep PeñuelasCSIC, Global Ecology Unit CREAF-CSIC-UAB, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7215-0150
Youhua RanNorthwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7774-4612
Chaoyang WuThe Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China. wucy@igsnrr.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6163-8209

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Persistent and above-average warming has advanced the start of spring permafrost thawing, intensifying climate warming through carbon feedbacks. However, the extent to which variations in spring permafrost thawing contribute to greening trends in permafrost-affected areas (i.e., increases in vegetation greenness) over time remains unclear, limiting our understanding of the ecological consequences of permafrost degradation. Analyzing 40-year freeze/thaw data and multiple satellite-derived greenness indicators, we identify widespread increases in the sensitivity of spring greenness to spring permafrost thawing based on moving-window analyses, indicating that advances in spring permafrost thawing have played a progressively stronger role in promoting spring greening, particularly in boreal forests and tundra regions underlain by continuous permafrost. In addition to the region-specific climate and permafrost conditions, we uncover biogeophysical pathways accounting for the increase in sensitivity of spring greenness to spring permafrost thawing, including reduced albedo, earlier vegetation phenology, and enhanced soil moisture infiltration. Notably, state-of-the-art Dynamic Global Vegetation Models consistently underestimate both the magnitude and variability of sensitivity of spring greenness to spring permafrost thawing. These findings highlight the temporal changes in vegetation responses to freeze-thaw dynamics, necessitating improved model projections concurrent with climate change.

Indexed as

FreezingPermafrostClimate ChangeSeasonsSoilTundraSoil

Identifiers

PMID41402285
PMCPMC12830745

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.