Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41401212›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2025

Blaming luck, claiming skill: Self-attribution bias in error assignment.

Naoyuki Okamoto, Michael Taylor, Takatomi Kubo, Shin Ishii, Benedetto De Martino, Aurelio Cortese

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Decisions, outcomes, and learning from what didn't go wrong.Journal of critical care medicine (Universitatea de Medicina si Farmacie din Targu-Mures) · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Naoyuki OkamotoComputational Neuroscience Laboratories, ATR Institute International, Kyoto, Japan.
Michael TaylorInstitute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Takatomi KuboComputational Neuroscience Laboratories, ATR Institute International, Kyoto, Japan.
Shin IshiiGraduate School of Informatics, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Benedetto De MartinoComputational Neuroscience Laboratories, ATR Institute International, Kyoto, Japan.
Aurelio CorteseComputational Neuroscience Laboratories, ATR Institute International, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-4567-0924

Funding

Innovative Science and Technology Initiative for SecurityJapan Science and Technology Agency: A.C JSPS KAKENHIJapan Trust International Research Cooperation Program of the National Institute of Information and Communication (NICT): B.DM.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mistakes are valuable learning opportunities, yet in uncertain environments, whether a lack of reward is due to poor performance or bad luck can be hard to tell. To investigate how humans address this issue, we developed a visuomotor task where rewards depended on either skill or chance. Participants consistently displayed a self-attribution bias, crediting successes to their own ability while blaming failures on randomness, an effect that influenced their subsequent decisions. Computational modelling revealed two underlying mechanisms-a distorted perception of ability and a positivity bias in the skill condition. Notably, while distorted self-perception shaped behaviour, it did not affect confidence; instead, self-attribution bias led to overconfidence in external blame. These findings suggest a more complex picture in which self-attribution biases arise from both perceptual distortions and post-decision evaluations, highlighting the need for an interplay between experimental design and computational modelling to understand behavioural biases.

Indexed as

Self ConceptAdultComputational BiologyComputer SimulationDecision MakingFemaleHumansMalePsychomotor PerformanceRewardYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID41401212
PMCPMC12753049

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.