Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41401107›Full record

ArticleCerebrovascular diseases extra2026

Predicting Incident Atrial Fibrillation after Stroke: A Scoping Review of Clinical Scores, Biomarkers, and AI-Enhanced Strategies.

João Brainer Clares de Andrade, Ivan Pisa, Nathalia Souza de Oliveira, Rafael Pádua Gomes, Alessandra Braga Cruz Guedes de Morais, Jackeline Viana da Silva, Thales Fagundes Pardini, Thiago Oscar Goulart

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in Cerebrovascular diseases extra, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

João Brainer Clares de AndradeDepartment of Health Informatics, Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Ivan PisaDepartment of Health Informatics, Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Nathalia Souza de OliveiraSchool of Medicine, Centro Universitario Sao Camilo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Rafael Pádua GomesSchool of Medicine, Centro Universitario Sao Camilo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Alessandra Braga Cruz Guedes de MoraisDepartment of Neurology, Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Jackeline Viana da SilvaSchool of Medicine, Centro Universitario Sao Camilo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Thales Fagundes PardiniDepartment of Neurology, Universidade de São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Thiago Oscar GoulartDepartment of Medicine, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, thiago.goulart@mail.utoronto.ca.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIncident atrial fibrillation (AF) after ischemic stroke is frequently underdetected despite its implications for anticoagulation and prevention of recurrent events. Multiple strategies - clinical risk scores, serum biomarkers, imaging markers, digital electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring, and artificial intelligence (AI)-based models - have been proposed to predict or detect post-stroke AF, but their comparative performance and applicability in routine practice remain uncertain. SUMMARY: We conducted a scoping review following PRISMA-ScR guidelines to map evidence on tools for predicting or detecting post-stroke AF in adults without known AF at baseline. We synthesized studies on clinical prediction scores, circulating biomarkers, imaging-derived markers, digital monitoring technologies, and AI-enhanced predictive models. Natriuretic peptides, particularly NT-proBNP and mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, demonstrate the most consistent association with incident AF and may improve risk stratification. Imaging markers such as left atrial dimensions and radiomic features show potential but lack robust validation. Digital monitoring modalities - including handheld ECG devices, wearable patch monitors, smartwatches, and implantable loop recorders - differ substantially in diagnostic yield, cost, and feasibility across settings. AI-based approaches using electronic health record data or ECG signals achieve high discrimination in development cohorts but require prospective clinical evaluation. Based on the evidence landscape, we outline a tiered diagnostic pathway integrating clinical scores, biomarker-guided triage, and stepwise ECG monitoring adapted to resource availability. KEY MESSAGES: Optimal post-stroke AF detection requires a multimodal strategy rather than isolated tools. Natriuretic peptides are the most validated biomarkers. Digital and AI-driven tools may broaden detection capacity but need external validation. A tiered diagnostic pathway may optimize diagnostic yield and resource allocation.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceAtrial FibrillationDecision Support TechniquesStrokeAtrial Natriuretic FactorBiomarkersElectrocardiographyHumansIncidenceNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAtrial Natriuretic FactorBiomarkersNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)Artificial intelligenceClinical scoresIncident atrial fibrillationPrediction

Identifiers

PMID41401107
PMCPMC13082775

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.