Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41400456›Full record

ArticleClinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN2026

A Target Trial Emulation Study of SGLT2 Inhibitors, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, and Combination Therapy in Preventing Kidney Failure in Type 2 Diabetes.

Matthew F Blum, Sneha Mehta, Aditya Surapaneni, Juan J Carrero, Donglan Zhang, Lesley Inker, Leora I Horwitz, Saul Blecker, Jung-Im Shin, Morgan E Grams

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Matthew F BlumDivision of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin.ORCID 0000-0003-4357-6926
Sneha MehtaDivision of Precision Medicine, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York.ORCID 0009-0008-6226-709
Aditya SurapaneniDivision of Precision Medicine, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0003-4978-5980
Juan J CarreroDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4763-2024
Donglan ZhangDivision of Health Services Research, Department of Foundations of Medicine, New York University Grossman Long Island School of Medicine, Mineola, New York.ORCID 0000-0001-5225-4721
Lesley InkerDivision of Nephrology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0003-2820-9482
Leora I HorwitzDepartments of Medicine and Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0003-1800-6040
Saul BleckerDepartments of Medicine and Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York.
Jung-Im ShinDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-0374-6927
Morgan E GramsDivision of Precision Medicine, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-4430-6023

Funding

Medication Use and Adverse Events in CKDR01DK115534 · NIDDK · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI Alexander R Chang, Morgan Erika Grams · 2018 to 2026
$5.7M
Challenges to Guideline-Recommended Diabetes Care in the United StatesR01DK139324 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Jung-Im Shin · 2025 to 2026
$1.4M
Prevention and Treatment of Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: Patient-Oriented Research and Mentoring - RenewalK24HL155861 · NHLBI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI Morgan Erika Grams · 2021 to 2026
$732k
NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL155861NHLBI NIH HHS K24HL155861NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK115534NIDDK NIH HHS R01DK115534NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK139324
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

key pointsCompared with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of kidney failure among individuals with type 2 diabetes. Use of combination SGLT2 inhibitor and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist was infrequent but associated with lower kidney failure risk in high-risk individuals. Providers should prioritize SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes to prevent progression to kidney failure.

backgroundThe relative effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists for kidney protection, both individually and in combination, is incompletely understood. We sought to compare associations of GLP-1 receptor agonists, SGLT2 inhibitors, and both medications in combination with incident kidney failure among individuals with type 2 diabetes.

methodsWe conducted a target trial emulation study with new user, active comparator design using deidentified electronic health records data from Optum Labs Data Warehouse. We included adults with type 2 diabetes who were prescribed a GLP-1 receptor agonist, SGLT2 inhibitor, or both between January 1, 2015, and June 29, 2024. We estimated the association of medication class with incident kidney failure using inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards regression models in both intention-to-treat and as-treated methodologies.

resultsThere were 504,151 individuals with 2965 kidney failure events during a median 2.35 (interquartile range 1.09-4.32) years of follow-up. Average prescription duration was 0.69 years for GLP-1 receptor agonists, 0.62 years for SGLT2 inhibitors, and 0.44 years for combination therapy. In the intention-to-treat analysis, compared with GLP-1 receptor agonists, the risk of kidney failure was significantly lower with SGLT2 inhibitors (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73 to 0.91) but no different with combination therapy (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.15). The results were similar in the as-treated model. Among individuals with CKD or heart failure, the risk of kidney failure was significantly lower with combination therapy compared with GLP-1 receptor agonists (HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.30 to 0.97).

conclusionsSGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of kidney failure compared to GLP-1 receptor agonists. Among high-risk patients with type 2 diabetes and CKD or heart failure, combination therapy may further reduce the risk of kidney failure.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diabetic NephropathiesGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsRenal InsufficiencySodium-Glucose Transporter 2 InhibitorsAgedDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleHumansHypoglycemic AgentsMaleMiddle AgedGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHypoglycemic AgentsSodium-Glucose Transporter 2 InhibitorsCKDdiabeteskidney failure

Identifiers

PMID41400456
PMCPMC12959744

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.