Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41398934›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2025

Trends in the disease burden of inflammatory bowel disease among the working-age population (20-64 years) from 1990 to 2021: a population-based study.

Tao Zhang, Siyuan Bu, Xiaozhen Cheng, Xiaowen Liu, Qi Si, Wenwen Zheng, Lin Wang, Ru Man, Yongduo Yu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Tao ZhangLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China.
Siyuan BuLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China.
Xiaozhen ChengShenzhen TCM Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, China.
Xiaowen LiuLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China.
Qi SiLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China.
Wenwen ZhengLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China.
Lin WangLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China.
Ru ManLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China. 1539492411@qq.com.
Yongduo YuSecond Affiliated Hospital, Liaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang, 110000, China. yuyongduo@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAs a major demographic within the workforce, individuals with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) represent a unique and significant burden on society’s productivity. The impact of IBD on this population is substantial, with serious long-term consequences. However, the trend of this disease burden remains unclear. This study aims to comprehensively assess the current status and changing trends of the disease burden associated with IBD in the working population, with the goal of providing valuable insights for the prevention, treatment, and formulation of healthcare policies.

methodsUsing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we conducted a stratified analysis of IBD data based on demographic characteristics, year, country/region, and the Social Development Index (SDI). We also employed various statistical techniques, including Joinpoint regression analysis, inequality analysis, frontier analysis, decomposition analysis, and Bayesian age-period-cohort predictive modeling.

resultsIn 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of IBD in the global working population was 6.48 (95% UI: 4.95, 8.32) per 100,000 person-years, the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) was 62.37 (95% UI: 49.68, 77.50) per 100,000, the age-standardized Disability-Adjusted Life Year rate (ASDR) was 19.54 (95% UI: 15.64, 24.17) per 100,000 person-years, and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) was 0.23 (95% UI: 0.20, 0.27) per 100,000. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized ASIR of IBD in the working population showed a gradual increase, whereas the age-standardized ASPR, ASDR, and ASMR consistently decreased. Specifically, the burden of the disease increased with age. The ASIR, ASDR, and ASMR were higher in males compared to females, whereas the ASPR was higher in females. However, the trends were similar between the sexes. Additionally, with increasing SDI, the age-standardized ASIR and ASPR gradually increased, while the ASMR decreased. It is projected that by 2050, the age-standardized ASIR and ASPR of IBD in the working population will improve, while the ASMR and ASDR will show an increasing trend.

conclusionAlthough the ASPR, ASDR, and ASMR in the working population have shown a downward trend, the ASIR continues to rise. This highlights both the advancements in healthcare and the need to strengthen prevention and early screening efforts to address this increasingly significant public health challenge.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessGlobal Burden of DiseaseInflammatory Bowel DiseasesAdultBayes TheoremDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceYoung AdultDisease burdenInflammatory bowel diseasePredictionTrendsWorking population

Identifiers

PMID41398934
PMCPMC12822199

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.