Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41393139›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2025

Development and validation of a prediction model for invasive syndrome in liver abscess patients based on LASSO regression: a multi-center retrospective cohort study in China.

Dian-Dian Hao, Guang-Zhao Shao, Xiu-Li Wang, Chang-Cheng Zhao, Jia-Lin Du, Hui Wang, Yu-Lin Ren, Yu-Ze Song, Xiao-Yu Wen

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Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Dian-Dian Hao *Department of Hepatology, Center for Infectious Diseases and Pathogenic Biology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Guang-Zhao Shao *Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, General Surgery Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Xiu-Li WangDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, General Surgery Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Chang-Cheng ZhaoDepartment of General Surgery, Yanshi People's Hospital, Luoyang, Henan, China.
Jia-Lin DuDepartment of Hepatology, Center for Infectious Diseases and Pathogenic Biology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Hui WangDepartment of Hepatology, Center for Infectious Diseases and Pathogenic Biology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yu-Lin RenDepartment of Hepatology, Center for Infectious Diseases and Pathogenic Biology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yu-Ze SongDepartment of Hepatology, Center for Infectious Diseases and Pathogenic Biology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Xiao-Yu WenDepartment of Hepatology, Center for Infectious Diseases and Pathogenic Biology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Patients with liver abscess are at high risk of developing invasive K. pneumonia liver abscess syndrome (IKPLAS), which can worsen survival and quality of life. Early identification of high-risk patients is crucial. This study aimed to identify risk factors for IKPLAS and develop a predictive model to guide early intervention. Methods: We retrospectively collected data from 1,762 liver abscess patients at the First Hospital of Jilin University between 2015 and 2024. Patients were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set at a 7:3 ratio, and 203 patients from another hospital served as an external validation cohort. The SMOTE algorithm was applied to address data imbalance. Independent risk factors were identified using LASSO and logistic regression analyses, and the performance of different models was compared. Ultimately, a LASSO-based logistic regression model was used to construct a predictive nomogram. Model performance was comprehensively evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), decision curve analysis (DCA), clinical impact curve (CIC), and calibration curve. An online risk calculator was also developed for clinical use. Results: Among 1,965 patients (1,304 males, 661 females; mean age 58.96 ± 13.07 years), 548 (28.9%) developed IKPLAS. Independent risk factors included CRP (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.003-1.007), PLT (OR = 0.995, 95% CI: 0.994-0.997), Prior biliary disease (OR = 1.137, 95% CI: 1.025-2.571), Fever (OR = 2.196, 95% CI: 1.292-3.824), Pleural effusion (OR = 7.355, 95% CI: 4.883-14.761), Ascites (OR = 8.786, 95% CI: 5.141-9.342), Broth culture (OR = 2.264, 95% CI: 1.186-3.371), DM (OR = 2.516, 95% CI: 1.757-3.63), and TBIL (OR = 1.006, 95% CI: 1.002-1.010). The nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.960, 0.920, and 0.892 in the training, internal, and external validation sets, respectively, with good calibration and clinical utility. Conclusion: We developed a nine-factor nomogram to predict individualized IKPLAS risk, demonstrating high discrimination and calibration, supporting early identification of high-risk patients and personalized management.

Indexed as

invasive syndromeliver abscessmulticenter studypredictive modelweb-based calculator

Identifiers

PMID41393139
PMCPMC12698520

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.