Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41381081›Full record

ArticleClinical and experimental pediatrics2026

Progression from acute to chronic pancreatitis in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Endre Botond Gagyi, Mahmoud Obeidat, Edina Tari, Szilárd Váncsa, Dániel Sándor Veres, Peter Banovcin, Péter Jenő Hegyi, Péter Hegyi, Bálint Erőss

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical and experimental pediatrics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Endre Botond GagyiCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Mahmoud ObeidatCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Edina TariCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Szilárd VáncsaCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Dániel Sándor VeresCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Peter BanovcinCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Péter Jenő HegyiCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Péter HegyiCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Bálint ErőssCentre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.

Funding

Ministry for Culture and Innovation EKÖP-202411Ministry for Culture and Innovation EKÖP-2024-197
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMost children recover after an initial acute pancreatitis (AP) episode; however, some progress to recurrent AP (RAP) or chronic pancreatitis (CP). PURPOSE: We aimed to quantify progression rates and identify the risk factors associated with these transitions.

methodsPubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched on December 21, 2024, for pediatric studies reporting progression to RAP or CP (PROSPERO number: CRD420251086520). All observational studies were included, while case reports and case series were excluded. To evaluate the differences in RAP rates, we conducted subgroup analyses of etiology and severity. We also assessed clinical, structural, and genetic risk factors for disease progression. A random-effects model was used to pool proportions and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Heterogeneity was assessed using the I² statistic.

resultsA total of 68 studies met the inclusion criteria. After the first AP attack, RAP developed in 18% (95% CI, 16-22%; I2=76%; k=39 studies) and CP developed in 10% (95% CI, 6-16%; I2=67%; k=5 studies) of patients. Among children with RAP, 35% (95% CI, 24-49%; I2=78%; k=7 studies) progressed to CP. The RAP rates varied according to etiology and severity: hypertriglyceridemia, 33%; idiopathic, 28%; biliary, 19%; traumatic, 16%; drug-induced, 14%; virus-induced, 3%; severe, 39%; moderate, 24%; and mild, 21%. Structural abnormalities were associated with a higher risk of RAP (OR, 3.15; 95% CI, 1.51-6.56; I2=0%; k=5 studies). Pancreas divisum (OR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.51-4.63; I2=17%; k=7 studies) and PRSS1 mutation (OR: 4.56; 95% CI, 3.06-6.80; I2=0%; k=7 studies) were associated with CP.

conclusionApproximately one in five pediatric AP episodes recurred, and over one-third of the RAP cases progressed to CP. The risk of RAP is influenced by the underlying etiology and severity of the initial episode, whereas structural and genetic factors are associated with later progression.

Indexed as

AcuteChronic pancreatitisRecurrentRisk factor

Identifiers

PMID41381081
PMCPMC12877302

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.