Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41379089›Full record

ArticleJournal of studies on alcohol and drugs2026

Screening Children for Risk of Frequent Substance Use in Young Adulthood: A 17-Year Prospective, National Study.

Athena Nooney, Meghan Dontha, William E Pelham

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Athena NooneyDepartment of Psychology, Middlebury College, Middlebury, Vermont.
Meghan DonthaDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.
William E PelhamDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.

Funding

Family processes underlying adolescent substance use and conduct problems: disentangling correlation and causationK08DA055935 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI William Ellerbe Pelham III · 2022 to 2026
$959k
Development of practical screening tools to support targeted prevention of early, high-risk drinking substance useR21DA058314 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI PELHAM III, WILLIAM ELLERBE · 2023 to 2024
$592k
NIDA NIH HHS K08 DA055935NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA058314
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThere is no externally validated instrument for predicting which children will show frequent substance use in young adulthood. This study evaluated whether an instrument previously shown to predict substance use outcomes in mid-adolescence could also predict substance use outcomes in young adulthood, comparing performance across ages and demographics.

methodThe Loeber Risk Score (LRS) is a five-item, parent-completed screener indexing risk of future substance use in children. We evaluated the predictive performance of the LRS in a nationally representative longitudinal birth cohort (

resultsThe LRS at age 9 predicted several outcomes at age 22 better than chance (

conclusionsThe LRS would be an improvement over random or ad hoc selection, but screening accuracy is generally low. Much more accurate screeners are needed.

Indexed as

Mass ScreeningSubstance-Related DisordersAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited StatesYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID41379089
PMCPMC12832035

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.