Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41372411›Full record

ArticleNature2026

Hot droughts in the Amazon provide a window to a future hypertropical climate.

Jeffrey Q Chambers, Adriano José Nogueira Lima, Gilberto Pastorello, Bruno Oliva Gimenez, Lin Meng, Lee A Dyer, Yanlei Feng, Cristina Santos da Silva, Regison Costa de Oliveira, Anna Weber and 20 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Increasing risk of vapor pressure deficit exceeding critical thresholds for tree growth.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Coupled Above- and Belowground Ecosystem Stability Worldwide.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Jeffrey Q ChambersDepartment of Geography, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA. jqchambers@berkeley.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-3983-7847
Adriano José Nogueira LimaInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Gilberto PastorelloClimate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9387-3702
Bruno Oliva GimenezDepartment of Geography, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7336-9448
Lin MengDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1603-4200
Lee A DyerDepartment of Biology, University of Nevada, Reno, Reno, NV, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0867-8874
Yanlei FengDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5711-7547
Cristina Santos da SilvaInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Regison Costa de OliveiraInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Anna WeberDepartment of Geography, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Charlie KovenClimate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3367-0065
Robinson Negrón-JuárezClimate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4691-2692
Gustavo C SpannerInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Tatiana D GauiInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Clarissa G FontesBeZero Carbon, London, UK.
Alessandro C de AraújoEmbrapa Amazônia Oriental, Belém, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-7361-5087
Nate McDowellPacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.
Ruby LeungPacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3221-9467
Daniel Magnabosco MarraInstitute for Forest Protection, Julius Kühn Institute (JKI) - Federal Research Centre for Cultivated Plants, Quedlinburg, Germany.
Jeffrey WarrenOak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0680-4697
Daisy Celestina SouzaInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Cynthia WrightOak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
Kolby JardineClimate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8491-9310
Marcos LongoClimate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5062-6245
Chonggang XuLos Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0937-5744
Paul V A FineDepartment of Geography, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Rosie A FisherCICERO Senter for klimaforskning, Oslo, Norway.
Javier TomasellaInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2597-8833
Joaquim Dos SantosInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Niro HiguchiInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tropical forests represent the warmest and wettest of Earth's biomes, but with continued anthropogenic warming, they will be pushed to climate states with no current analogue

Indexed as

DroughtsForestsTropical ClimateBrazilClimate ModelsEl Nino-Southern OscillationGlobal WarmingHot TemperaturePlant TranspirationRainSeasonsSoilTemperatureTreesWaterWoodSoilWater

Identifiers

PMID41372411

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.