Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41372152›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Flash droughts threaten global managed forests.

Jianzhuang Pang, Hang Xu, Yang Xu, Yifan Zhang, Xiaoyun Wu, Kexin Li, Zhiqiang Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jianzhuang PangJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4691-4716
Hang XuJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China. hangxu@bjfu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6661-3139
Yang XuJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6930-3200
Yifan ZhangJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9163-4353
Xiaoyun WuJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China.
Kexin LiJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China.
Zhiqiang ZhangJixian National Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China. zhqzhang@bjfu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0083-7455

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 32271967National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 32301664
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Flash droughts, characterized by rapid onset and increasing frequency, pose significant threats to ecosystem stability and function. However, there remains no global consensus regarding forest responses to flash droughts. Here, using a reconstructed global high spatiotemporal resolution Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index dataset and an interpretable machine learning framework, we find that global forests have experienced increasingly rapid, intense, and prolonged flash droughts over the past four decades. Managed forests are more prone to browning from flash droughts than intact forests due to their limited capacity to acclimate to rapid drought stress driven by extreme heat. Notably, our meta-analysis confirms that current forest management practices, designed to maximize ecosystem services, exacerbate the vulnerability of managed forests to flash droughts globally. Our findings highlight the escalating risks posed by increasingly frequent and prolonged flash droughts to managed forests, underscoring the urgent need to integrate resistance and resilience to extreme climatic events into forest management strategies.

Indexed as

DroughtsForestryForestsTreesClimate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemMachine Learning

Identifiers

PMID41372152
PMCPMC12695971

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.