Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41370507›Full record

Observational studyEinstein (Sao Paulo, Brazil)2025

Predicting intensive care unit length of stay: comparing physician assessments with software predictions in a multicenter study.

Thiago Tavares Dos Santos, Luciana Seidel de Crignis Resende, Leandro Utino Taniguchi, Thiago Gomes Romano, Marcos Soares Tavares, Luciano Cesar Pontes de Azevedo, Fernando Jose da Silva Ramos

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyComparative Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Einstein (Sao Paulo, Brazil), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Thiago Tavares Dos SantosIntensive Care Unit, Hospital Beneficência Portuguesa Mirante, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5063-2127
Luciana Seidel de Crignis ResendeIntensive Care Unit, Hospital Beneficência Portuguesa Mirante, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-9114-029X
Leandro Utino TaniguchiIntensive Care Unit, Hospital das Clínicas, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4384-0408
Thiago Gomes RomanoHospital São Luiz, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0324-0475
Marcos Soares TavaresIntensive Care Unit, Hospital Nove de Julho, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4031-4584
Luciano Cesar Pontes de AzevedoHospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6759-3910
Fernando Jose da Silva RamosIntensive Care Unit, Hospital Beneficência Portuguesa Mirante, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5277-4759

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare the predictive abilities of medical professionals and the Epimed Monitor Performance© (EMP) software for intensive care unit length of stay and to assess EMP software effectiveness in identifying patients at risk of prolonged stays.

methodsThis prospective multicenter observational study was conducted in three Brazilian intensive care units, enrolling adult patients admitted between August and December 2019. Data were collected using the Epimed Monitor System©. Both physicians and the EMP system predicted intensive care unit length of stay.

resultsA total of 555 patients were included. The median age was 63.3 years (IQR=48.3-74.3), and 58.5% were males. Comorbidities were present in 72%, with 37.2% having cancer. The median intensive care unit length of stay was 3 days (IQR=2-6). Observed length of stay showed a correlation of 0.34 (p<0.001) with physician prediction and 0.36 (p<0.001) with EMP. Categorizing the length of stay improved the predictive performance by 60% for both methods. EMP demonstrated good accuracy in identifying patients at risk of prolonged stay (AUC: 0.76; 95%CI=0.70-0.81).

conclusionAbsolute prediction of intensive care unit length of stay remains challenging, but period categorization is a viable alternative. EMP aids in identifying patients at risk of prolonged stays and thus can complement clinical judgment. Our findings highlight the value of integrating predictive tools with medical expertise to enhance intensive care unit planning, decision making, and resource allocation.

Indexed as

Intensive Care UnitsLength of StayPhysiciansSoftwareAgedBrazilFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID41370507
PMCPMC12671615

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.