Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41366647›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2025

Etiology of cirrhosis is associated with risk of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Michelle Ng, Olgert Bardhi, Krystal Lai, Eden Koo, Sruthi Yekkaluri, Kevin Bass, Guruveer Bhamra, Pojsakorn Danpanichkul, Lisa Quirk, Ju Dong Yang and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Michelle NgDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Olgert BardhiDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Krystal LaiDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Eden KooDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Sruthi YekkaluriDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Kevin BassDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Guruveer BhamraDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Pojsakorn DanpanichkulDepartment of Internal Medicine, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, TX, USA.
Lisa QuirkDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Ju Dong YangKarsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Jeremy LouissaintDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Thomas A KerrDepartment of Internal Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Amit G SingalDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern, 5959 Harry Hines Blvd, POB 1, Suite 420, Dallas, TX, 75390-8887, USA. amit.singal@utsouthwestern.edu.

Funding

UT Southwestern NORCP30DK127984 · NIDDK · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI Jeffrey M Zigman · 2022 to 2026
$7.4M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK127984
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe impact of the changing epidemiology from viral to non-viral etiologies of cirrhosis on the burden of liver-related complications remains unclear.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with cirrhosis and an index outpatient visit between January and December 2015 at two U.S. health systems. We excluded patients with a history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or both prevalent ascites and hepatic encephalopathy. Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard models were used to characterize time-to-incident hepatic decompensation and incident HCC through 2020, with liver transplantation and death as competing events, and multivariable Fine-Gray regression was used to identify associated factors.

resultsWe identified 1029 patients (median age 58 years, 54.9% male, 19.5% non-Hispanic White). Over a median follow-up of 84.7 months, 36.4% developed incident hepatic decompensation (46.7% ascites, 21.1% hepatic encephalopathy, and 32.3% ascites plus hepatic encephalopathy), 14.5% developed HCC, 2.0% underwent transplant, and 23.0% died. The cumulative 1-, 2-, and 3-year incidence of hepatic decompensation were 7.0%, 10.8%, and 16.3% and incidence of HCC were 3.0%, 5.0%, and 6.9%, respectively. Compared to viremic hepatitis C, higher risk of hepatic decompensation was associated with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) (sHR 1.52, 95% CI 0.94 - 2.45) and alcohol-associated cirrhosis (sHR 1.68, 95%CI 1.10 - 2.57), while incident HCC was inversely associated with MASLD (sHR 0.27; 95% CI 0.12-0.59) and alcohol-associated cirrhosis (sHR 0.45; 95% CI 0.23-0.84).

conclusionIncreasing proportions of non-viral liver disease will likely lead to a greater burden of hepatic decompensation and reduced HCC in contemporary populations.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularLiver CirrhosisLiver FailureLiver NeoplasmsAdultAgedAscitesFemaleHepatic EncephalopathyHumansIncidenceLiver Cirrhosis, AlcoholicLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID41366647
PMCPMC12802128

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.