ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025
Climate sensitivity is widely but unevenly spread across zoonotic diseases.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Steppe productivity decline contributed to smallpox outbreak and the collapse of the last nomadic empire in the 1750s.Science advances · 2026Article
- Climate change and zoonotic spillover: lessons from recent hantavirus events.BMC global and public health · 2026Article
- Paleopathology Meets Public Health: Deep-Time Syndemics and the Ecology of Emerging Infections.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Climate change is expected to exacerbate infectious diseases, yet the climate sensitivity of zoonotic diseases (driven by spillover from animal reservoirs) is understudied compared to vector-borne and water-borne infections. To address this gap, we conducted a scoping review and quantitative synthesis to identify relationships between climatic indicators (temperature, precipitation, humidity) and zoonotic disease risk metrics worldwide. We identified 218 studies from 65 countries describing 852 measures across 53 diseases, with most studies testing linear (n = 193) rather than nonlinear (n = 28) relationships. We found evidence of climate sensitivity across diverse zoonotic diseases (significant nonzero relationships in 69.1% of temperature effects, 63.5% of precipitation effects, and 53.6% of humidity effects), but with variation in direction and strength. Positive effects of temperature and rainfall on disease risk were more common than negative effects (46.5% vs. 22.6% and 37.8% vs. 25.7% of all records, respectively). These studies were predominantly located in areas expected to have substantial increases in annual mean temperature (>1.5 °C in 97% of studies) and rainfall (>25 mm in 53% of studies) by 2041 to 2070. Notably, the most consistent relationship was between temperature and vector-borne zoonoses (56% of positive effects, mean Hedges'
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